SC Freiburg vs Aston Villa Predictions, Picks & Odds for Wednesday’s Europa League Final

Sam Farley - Contributor at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst 10+ years betting experience
Updated: May 19, 2026 , 03:00 PM ET • 4 min read

Aston Villa will win easily, in part due to coach Unai Emery's experience at the Europa League. Expect a clean-sheet victory over Freiburg.

Unai Emery Aston Villa EPL
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Aston Villa manager Unai Emery reacts during match with Liverpool.

The Europa League final takes place on Wednesday, with SC Freiburg and Aston Villa battling for the continent’s second trophy. 

Winning would be an incredible achievement for either club, but our SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa predictions expect the English club to win, and keep a clean sheet, thanks in part to Unai Emery’s experience in the competition.

Read on for my Europa League betting picks for Wednesday, May 20, with kickoff at 3:00 p.m. ET on Paramount+.

SC Freiburg vs Aston Villa picks and predictions

My SC Freiburg vs Aston Villa best bet: Aston Villa to win to nil (+150 at Sports Interaction)

Aston Villa manager Unai Emery has an incredible record in this competition, winning on four occasions with other clubs, as well as reaching six European finals in total.

That experience will be huge, especially against Freiburg’s inexperience, with this being their first European final and only the second major final in the club’s history.

Freiburg will be missing one of their key creative players, Yuito Suzuki, with the Japanese midfielder a primary goal and assist contributor.

Villa have kept eight clean sheets in the competition this season, including four clean sheets in six knockout games, and scoring 14 goals in those contests.

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SC Freiburg vs Aston Villa same-game parlay (SGP)

Aston Villa Over 0.5 second-half goals

Ollie Watkins 1+ shots on target

Jan-Niklas Beste 1+ fouls

Late goals have been a key part of Villa’s European campaign this season, with eight in the 76th minute or later. In six knockout games, they’ve scored nine second-half goals, while Freiburg have conceded a second-half goal in their previous three European games.

Ollie Watkins has the most shots on target of any player in the Aston Villa squad in the Europa League this season and has averaged 1.48 shots on target per 90 minutes played in the competition. He’s in red-hot form, with four goals in his past three games, and nine shots on target in that time frame.

Freiburg left back Jan-Niklas Beste has averaged 1.42 fouls committed per 90 minutes played in Europe this season. The 27-year-old has committed at least one foul in his past three games in all competitions.

SC Freiburg vs Aston Villa odds

Freiburg SC Freiburg Aston Villa Aston Villa
+400 Moneyline -147
+290 Draw +290
Over 2.5 (-102) Total Under 2.5 (-137)

Odds courtesy of Sports Interaction.

SC Freiburg vs Aston Villa opening odds

  • Moneyline: SC Freiburg +400 | Aston Villa -147
  • Draw: +275
  • Over/Under: Over 2.5 (-102) | Under 2.5 (-137)

How to watch SC Freiburg vs Aston Villa

Location Vodafone Park, Istanbul, Turkey
Date Wednesday, May 20, 2026
Time 3:00 p.m. ET
TV Paramount+
Weather Partly sunny

SC Freiburg vs Aston Villa key injuries

SC Freiburg: Max Rosenfelder CB (Out), Patrick Osterhage CDM (Out), Yuito Suzuki CAM (Out).
Aston Villa: Boubacar Kamara CM (Out), Amadou Onana CM (Out).

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Sam Farley
Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

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