Mexico vs Honduras Predictions, Picks & Best Bets for Tonight's Gold Cup Semifinal Match

Drama, goals, and a game soaring over the total. Those are all the things Chris Vasile expects to happen in tonight's Mexico vs. Honduras Gold Cup semifinal.

Chris Vasile - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Chris Vasile • Betting Analyst
Jul 2, 2025 • 14:19 ET • 4 min read
Mexico forward Raul Jimenez (9) reacts in the second half.
Photo By - Imagn Images. Mexico forward Raul Jimenez (9) reacts in the second half.

It's not the semifinal matchup we all expected, but I believe it will be the more entertaining of the two fixtures. 

With a trip to the Gold Cup final on the line, my Mexico vs. Honduras predictions and Gold Cup free picks for Wednesday, July 2, break down why this showdown will deliver plenty of goals and incredible drama from the opening whistle.

Given the current price on the total goals market, you need to seize this strong profit opportunity.

Mexico vs Honduras picks and predictions

My Mexico vs Honduras best bet: Over 2.5 goals (-118 at bet365)

Mexico are no strangers to playing well in the Gold Cup. They've advanced to the Finals in three straight tournaments, winning five out of the last eight times. 

On paper, Wednesday's fixture vs. Honduras looks like a one-sided affair, but that's what we thought about Canada/Guatemala and Panama/Honduras...

For Honduras to continue their Cinderella-type run to the Final, they'll need to find a way to slow down the El Tri attack, something I just don't see them doing. 

They've given up eight goals through four games so far this tournament, and with Mexico's goalscoring record — they've scored at least two goals in three of four games — Honduras' defense will be tested. 

That's why I like goals. 

Mexico should dominate possession and continue to slot them home with ease, but as Honduras has shown, they have no issues scoring goals on their own. 

Mexico vs Honduras same-game parlay (SGP)

Both teams to score — Yes

Raul Jimenez to score

Mexico moneyline

I'm slightly pivoting from my best bet here as the odds are a bit better with both teams to score than they are with Over 2 goals. 

Honduras have an attack capable of troubling the El Tri defense, and a 2-1 Mexico win isn't out of the question. 

If anyone is going to score for Mexico, it has to be Raul Jimenez, who has just one goal this tournament, but is no stranger to scoring big goals for his country on the biggest stages. 

Mexico vs Honduras odds

Mexico vs Honduras live odds

Mexico Honduras
-275 Moneyline +750
+400 Draw +400
Over 2.5 (-112) Total Under 2.5 (-112)

Odds courtesy of bet365.

How to watch Mexico vs Honduras

Location Levi's Stadium, San Francisco, CA
Date Wednesday, 7-2-2025
Time 10:00 p.m. ET
TV Fox Sports
Weather Clear, sunny playing conditions.

Mexico vs Honduras key injuries

Mexico: Luis Chavez (Out), Jesus Gallardo (Out).
Honduras: No injuries to report.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Pages related to this topic

Chris Vasile Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Chris Vasile has been in the betting industry for well over a decade honing his craft as a writer, editor and handicapper. A journalism graduate from Conestoga College in Kitchener, Ontario, Chris has contributed betting and non-betting content for online publications such as ProSportsDaily and The Hockey Writers, in addition to Covers. With a keen interest in soccer, Chris has been featured on Covers' 'Before You Bet' and runs his own YouTube channel — Game Day Wagers.

When it comes to daily sports betting, his sportsbook of choice is bet365 for the plethora of markets and great UX. Chris' top sports betting advice is to stick to what you know. Being a jack of all trades and master of none is a quick way to bust the bankroll. Find one or two sports you can devote your time to and trust the process.

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