Man City bids farewell to iconic manager Pep Guardiola in what is expected to be a highly entertaining match against the newly crowned Europa League winners.
With the title race already over, City can only focus on delivering a performance worthy of their outgoing head coach. Entertainment should be the main attraction in Pep’s final match as City manager.
Here are my Man City vs. Aston Villa predictions and free betting picks for Sunday, May 24.
Premier League predictions for Man City vs Aston Villa
My Man City vs Aston Villa best bet: Over 3.5 goals (-173 at Sports Interaction)
Man City have averaged 2.44 goals per game across 18 home Premier League matches this season, while three of Villa’s last four matches have gone Over 3.5.
Both teams have been involved in consistently high-scoring games, and there’s little reason to expect that trend to slow down, with City boasting a league-best xG and the second-most shots on target per game (5.5).
Villa are also expected to field players who haven’t seen consistent minutes in recent weeks, which could further open up the game and enhance City’s attacking output.
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Man City vs Aston Villa same-game parlay (SGP)
Over 3.5 goals
Erling Haaland 2+ goals
Antoine Semenyo 1+ shots on target
Man City Over 6.5 corners
With 27 goals already, Erling Haaland is likely to win his third Premier League Golden Boot in four seasons. He has been the symbol of City’s efficiency under Guardiola since his move from Borussia Dortmund, and I’m backing another big performance from the Norwegian after scoring in each of City’s last five games.
Semenyo has also registered shots on target in City’s last two matches, including a goal against Palace. I’m including him as well, as there should be plenty of balls played into the Villa box in this game, giving him opportunities to make an impact.
To reach an attractive +875 return, I’ll also be adding corners. At 6.38 per match, City have the highest average number of corners in the Premier League. In home matches, they are doing even better, averaging seven per game.
Man City vs Aston Villa odds
Man City vs Aston Villa live odds
Man City vs Aston Villa opening odds
- Moneyline: Man City -345 | Aston Villa +700
- Draw: +550
- Over/Under: Over 3.5 (-137) | Under 3.5 (-102)
How to watch Man City vs Aston Villa
| Location | Etihad Stadium, Manchester, England |
| Date | Sunday, May 24, 2026 |
| Time | 11:00 a.m. ET |
| TV | Peacock |
| Weather | 75F with clear skies. |
 Recent EPL form |
D-W-W-W-D |
 Recent EPL form |
W-W-D-W-L |
Man City vs Aston Villa key injuries
Man City: No key injuries to report.
Aston Villa: Emiliano Martinez GK (Questionable), Boubacar Kamara CM (Out).
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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