Bayern Munich and PSG clash in the second leg of their Champions League semifinal today, and one particular angle offers immense value.
Right back Warren Zaïre-Emery will likely be assigned to slow Luis Díaz after getting exposed in the first leg. That’s a mismatch, and it's why my Bayern Munich vs. PSG predictions expect Zaïre-Emery to commit plenty of fouls.
Here are my free betting picks for Wednesday, May 6.
Bayern Munich vs PSG picks and predictions
My Bayern Munich vs PSG best bet: Warren Zaïre-Emery 2+ fouls committed (+200 at Sports Interaction)
PSG right-back Achraf Hakimi will be missing through injury, meaning that Warren Zaïre-Emery will be shifted to right-back. Zaïre-Emery has averaged 0.9 fouls per game when playing in that position this season, something he’s done in 16 of his 49 appearances this year.
Luis Diaz was Bayern’s main threat in the first leg, scoring a goal, and the Colombian was fouled on four occasions, the most of any player on the pitch. With Bayern starting this tie a goal behind, they’ll be attacking heavily, meaning Zaire-Emery will be matched up against foul magnet Diaz. PSG’s right back last week, Hakimi, gave up three fouls when playing opposite Diaz in the first leg.
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Bayern Munich vs PSG same-game parlay (SGP)
Warren Zaire-Emery 2+ fouls
Nuno Mendes 2+ fouls
Fabian Ruiz 2+ fouls
Michael Olise drew two fouls last week and has averaged 1.81 across the season in the Champions League. He’ll be matched up opposite Nuno Mendes, who committed one foul last week, but with PSG sitting back, expect that number to increase.
PSG midfielder Fabian Ruiz returned from injury last week and gave up two fouls in just 26 minutes on the pitch. He’s averaged 1.5 fouls per 90 minutes on the field in the UCL across the whole season. Expect the Spaniard to repeat that here against a strong Bayern midfield who’ll be dominating possession.
Bayern Munich vs PSG odds
 Bayern Munich |
 PSG |
|
|---|---|---|
| -152 | Moneyline | +300 |
| +380 | Draw | +380 |
| Over 2.5 (-500) | Total | Under 2.5 (+320) |
Odds courtesy of Sports Interaction.
How to watch Bayern Munich vs PSG
| Location | Allianz Arena, Munich, Germany |
| Date | Wednesday, May 6, 2026 |
| Time | 3:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | Paramount+ |
| Weather | Rain showers. |
Bayern Munich vs PSG key injuries
Bayern Munich: Tom Bischof (Out), Serge Gnabry (Out), Kennart Karl (Out). Raphael Guerreiro (Out).
PSG: Lucas Chevalier (Out), Quentin Ndjantou (Out), Achraf Hakimi (Out).
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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