Arsenal vs Leeds Predictions, Picks & Odds for Saturday's Premier League Match

Farley's prediction: Leeds midfielder can't avoid a booking.

Sam Farley - Contributor at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
Aug 21, 2025 • 22:31 ET • 4 min read
Leeds Anton Stach during the pre-season friendly match at Elland Road.
Photo By - Imagn Images. Leeds Anton Stach during the pre-season friendly match at Elland Road.

Saturday’s Premier League slate sees Arsenal vs Leeds as the headlining game of the day, with both teams winning their opening game.

Leeds got three points in their return to the Premier League as they beat Everton, but now face a far harder task in title-contending Arsenal. Our Arsenal vs. Leeds predictions expect Leeds’ midfield to struggle, which should lead to Anton Stach getting booked.

Read on for my free betting picks for Saturday, August 23, with kickoff at 12:30 p.m. ET on NBC.

Premier League predictions for Arsenal vs Leeds

My Arsenal vs Leeds best bet: Anton Stach to get booked (+333 at bet365)

Leeds were excellent against Everton in their 1-0 victory on Monday, but the visitors played their part in that with an abject performance. Now it’s Leeds who are the road team, and this game against Arsenal is likely going to be one of their toughest trips this season. Daniel Farke got terrible news that midfield lynchpin Ethan Ampadu is out injured until after the international break. That is going to put the midfield under real strain in a game that’ll see them chasing the ball often.

Anton Stach made his Leeds debut last week after arriving from Hoffenheim, and the 26-year-old performed brilliantly, ranking second in the team for passes, taking the most shots, and looking dangerous. He also gave up a foul, something to keep in mind against the far superior Arsenal this Saturday. He’s not a dirty player at all, but still picked up eight yellow cards in 30 Bundesliga games last season and will struggle in this game, which will be a huge test for him. 

Arsenal vs Leeds same-game parlay (SGP)

Anton Stach to be booked

Leeds Under 0.5 goals

Viktor Gyokeres to score

It was notable that despite playing well against Everton and having a huge 21 shots, they managed just three on target. Arsenal kept a clean sheet in their win over Man Utd and had the Premier League’s best defense last season, so expect another clean sheet against a Leeds attack that isn’t clinical.

To wrap up this SGP, we’re also backing Arsenal’s new striker Viktor Gyokeres to score. He didn’t look great in his debut, but this is a player who scored a staggering 54 goals for Sporting Lisbon and Sweden last season. That shows real quality, and the 27-year-old will continue working hard and finding dangerous positions until he’s rewarded with a goal.

Arsenal vs Leeds odds

Arsenal vs Leeds live odds

Arsenal vs Leeds opening odds

  • Moneyline: Arsenal -371 | Leeds +850
  • Draw: +525
  • Over/Under: Over 2.5 (-188) | Under 2.5 (+150)

How to watch Arsenal vs Leeds

Location Emirates Stadium, London, England
Date Saturday, August 23, 2025
Time 12:30 p.m. ET
TV NBC
Weather Cloudy but dry. 
West Ham  Recent EPL form W
Chelsea  Recent EPL form W

Arsenal vs Leeds key injuries

Arsenal: Gabriel Jesus STR (Out), Kai Havertz FWR (Questionable).
Leeds: Ethan Ampadu CM (Out).

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

Sam Farley
Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

Popular Content

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo