THE PLAYERS Championship Picks, Live Odds, and Field: Tracking the Action at TPC Sawgrass

Scottie Scheffler used his best putting performance of the season to dominate at Bay Hill and he also happens to be the defending champion here at TPC Sawgrass. Those factors make him the clear No. 1 choice on THE PLAYERS Championship odds board.

Mar 14, 2024 • 15:37 ET • 4 min read

Scottie Scheffler finding his putter is a scary sight at a scary time with the PGA Tour heading to TPC Sawgrass for one of the most prestigious events of the year — The PLAYERS Championship — and Masters odds just a few short weeks away from being at the forefront of the sport. 

The World No. 1 dominated a tough Bay Hill track and cruised to win the Arnold Palmer Invitational for the second time in three years. Oh, he's also this week's defending champion. Put it all together and you get a +500 favorite over one of the toughest fields of the year. 

We break down the golf odds board, give our best free golf picks, and more in our full betting preview for THE PLAYERS Championship below.

Best 2024 PLAYERS Championship picks

Live odds to win the 2024 PLAYERS Championship

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THE PLAYERS Championship picks and predictions

Will Zalatoris Top 20 (+137)

It’s been a long road back from injury for Will Zalatoris considering he made just eight starts last year. And while his 2024 began with a missed cut in Hawaii, he’s gone T13-T2-T4 in his last three starts and it’s the numbers beyond those results that lead me to believe he’s not going anywhere.

He ranks second in this field from tee to green over the last month, second only to Scottie Scheffler, and also ranks second on approach over that span. That’s the elite ball-striker we know him to be. 

But maybe more importantly, he’s rolling it nicely at the moment — the part of his game that’s held him back in the past, as it has Scheffler — and has gained strokes putting in four straight events.

His TPC Sawgrass resume isn’t anything special with his best result being a 21st-place finish in 2021 but I’ve seen what I needed to see. Will Zalatoris is back.

Pick: Will Zalatoris Top 20 (+137 at bet365)

Max Homa Top 20 (+125)

A win on the DP World Tour back in November may be masking the fact Max Homa hasn’t won on the PGA Tour since last January, but that’s just a matter of the goalpost being moved after winning four times in 15 months before that. 

He’s playing maybe the most consistent golf of his career at the moment: he logged 11 straight finishes of T21 or better between July and January before a T66-MC stretch last month. He then bounced back with a T16 at Riviera and a T8 at Bay Hill. 

He’s gained strokes on approach in 17 of his last 18 starts and ranked third in the field in putting at last week’s Arnold Palmer. All facets of his game are there.

He’s finished T13 and T6 in his last two tries here at TPC Sawgrass and ranked 12th and 8th from tee to green in those starts. Given the form he’s entering with, I expect more of the same this week.

Pick: Max Homa Top 20 (+125 at bet365)

THE PLAYERS Championship field and favorites

As consistently great as Scottie Scheffler has been over the last 2+ years, his putter has held him back from winning way more often than he does. That wasn't the case at Bay Hill last week.

The World No. 1 won the API — for the second time — by five shots and ranked fifth in the field in strokes gained putting. It was his best true strokes gained putting performance since the 2022 Phoenix Open and it's why he's a runaway favorite this week at 5/1. 

He now returns to the TPC Sawgrass Stadium Course, where he similarly won by five shots a year ago. 

Running second on the board is World No. 2 Rory McIlroy between 12/1 and 14/1. The 2019 PLAYERS champ worked his way into outside contention last week before going backward with a final-round 76. Results of T24, T21, and T21 over his last three starts are certainly nothing to write home about. 

2021 winner Justin Thomas is third on the board at 18/1 after another strong result at Bay Hill. His 2021 victory here is followed up by T33 and T60 results over the last two years but his current form is much more encouraging. 

Also in great form is Xander Schauffele, who's logged finishes of T10 or better in six of his last nine starts dating back to the FedEx Cup Playoffs. He's fourth on the board at 20/1 with his best PLAYERS result being a T2 in 2018. 

Headlining the next set of contenders is Viktor Hovland (T36 last week) and Patrick Cantlay (also T36) at 22/1, Will Zalatoris (T4) at 25/1, and Max Homa (T8) in the +2,200 to +2,800 range. 

It's worth noting four of the last six winners have closed with odds of 18/1 or shorter. Only Scottie, Rory, and JT — all former champions — fit that bill this week.

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THE PLAYERS Championship recent winners and odds history

Here are the recent PLAYERS Championship winners and their closing odds to win:

Year Winner Closing Odds
2023 Scottie Scheffler +1,000
2022 Cameron Smith +3,000
2021 Justin Thomas +1,800
2020 No event: COVID-19 related.
2019 Rory McIlroy +1,200
2018 Webb Simpson +6,000
2017 Si Woo Kim OTB
2016 Jason Day +1,000
2015 Rickie Fowler +5,000

Odds courtesy of GolfOdds.

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