Panthers vs Oilers Picks & Predictions: An Early Lean on Both Teams Scoring at Least Two Goals

The Stanley Cup will be in the building for Game 4 of the Cup Finals between Edmonton and Florida. With Florida on the brink, and Edmonton fighting for survival, our early lean expects both teams to fire away from every angle and pot at least two goals each.

Neil Parker - Analyst at
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst
Jun 14, 2024 • 13:09 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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The Florida Panthers can hoist the Stanley Cup and sweep the Edmonton Oilers with a Game 4 win on Saturday, and all eyes will be on Rogers Place with the series on the line.

Florida has outscored Edmonton 11-4 through the first three games of the final, and the Oilers haven’t had an answer for the Panthers. The Cats topped the Oil in consecutive low-scoring games, and then Florida beat Edmonton 4-3 in Thursday’s high-scoring Game 3.

Will the offense continue at Rogers Place on Saturday, or will we see another low-scoring affair? Find out right here with our free NHL picks and Panthers vs. Oilers predictions for Game 4 on Saturday.

Panthers vs Oilers prediction

My best bet
Both teams to score 2+ goals (-133 at Sports Interaction)

My analysis

It took three games, but the Edmonton Oilers finally solved Florida Panthers goalie Sergei Bobrovsky with three goals Thursday. The Oil just haven’t been able to solve their own defensive shortcomings or figure out how to deal with the scoring depth of the Panthers.

As a result, I’m going right back to this prop as my best bet for Game 4. 

Oilers goalie Stuart Skinner sports a confidence-shattering .868 save percentage and 3.13 GAA through three starts in the finals, and Florida has scored at least three goals in each game. At the other end of the rink, Bobrovsky has continued his sensational stretch with a .953 SV% and 1.33 GAA in the series. Still, the Oilers topped two goals for the first time in the series Thursday, and positive regression to their 4.6 team shooting percentage at five-on-five remains. 

I’m expecting Edmonton to have another solid offensive showing in Game 4, too. The Oilers have averaged 3.9 goals per game at Rogers Place compared to 2.55 on the road during the postseason, and Edmonton also finished with 3.73 expected goals in Game 3. Of course, the Oil are also still without a power-play goal in the series.

Finally, I also value head coach Kris Knoblauch leaning on his top scorers for big minutes, with Oilers stars Connor McDavid, Leon Draisaitl, Zach Hyman and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins all topping 22 minutes in Game 3.

Panthers vs Oilers star player prop

My best bet
Connor McDavid Over 3.5 shots (-120 at Sports Interaction)

While the goals and assists in the Stanley Cup Final might not match the eye-popping production Edmonton star Connor McDavid strung together through the first three rounds of the playoffs, he’s remained dangerous with a team-high 14 shots and seven high-danger scoring chances.

As noted, McDavid is also logging huge minutes with an average of 25:30 per night, and No. 97 topping that mark is likely in an elimination game with the season on the line. He’s also sporting an elite 61.7 Corsi For percentage at five-on-five, including a 62.2% mark on home ice in Game 3 and a 59.2 CF% when matched up against Panthers No. 1 center Aleksander Barkov.

McDavid has also recorded four or more shots in six of his past postseason games at Rogers Place.

Panthers vs Oilers odds

Panthers vs Oilers live odds

Panthers vs Oilers opening odds

  • Puck line: Florida +1.5 (-250)  | Edmonton -1.5 (+200)
  • Moneyline: Florida +105 | Edmonton -118
  • Over/Under: Over 5.5 | Under 5.5

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Panthers vs Oilers game info

Location: Rogers Place, Edmonton, AB
Date: Saturday, 6-15-2024
Puck drop: 8:00 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN, Sportsnet

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