The Ottawa Senators are in the thick of the Eastern Conference Wild Card chase, and still in distance of a Top 3 spot in the Atlantic as they battle the Tampa Bay Lighting on Saturday afternoon.
My Senators vs. Lightning predictions and free NHL picks have these two high-scoring teams lighting the lamp with frequency on March 28.
Senators vs Lightning prediction
Senators vs Lightning best bet: Over 6.5 (+110)
It’s a battle of two teams in the Top 10 in scoring.
The Ottawa Senators dropped a 4-3 shootout to the Penguins last time, but it’s another game where they’ve picked up points – 18 times in the last 21.
The Senators are down five defenseman, including standouts Jake Sanderson and Thomas Chabot, and that will be tough against the league’s second-highest scoring team.
The Tampa Bay Lightning boast five players with at least 20 goals on the year.
The Over has hit in four of the last five between these teams, and it appears they’ll stay on trend today.
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Senators vs Lightning same-game parlay
Jake Guentzel has been on fire for Tampa of late, scoring four times in his last five games. He’s tallied six times in his last 10 against Ottawa.
Tim Stutzle is coming off a two-assist game against Pittsburgh, and he’s been a solid setup man against the Lightning, recording at least one assist against them in nine of the last 10 games.
Senators vs Lightning SGP
- Over 6.5
- Jake Guentzel anytime goal
- Tim Stutzle Over 0.5 assists
Senators vs Lightning odds
- Moneyline: Senators +150 | Lightning -180
- Puck Line: Senators +1.5 | Lightning -1.5
- Over/Under: Over 6.5 | Under 6.5
Senators vs Lightning trend
The Senators have won 11 of their last 12 day games against East opponents. Find more NHL betting trends for Senators vs. Lightning.
How to watch Senators vs Lightning
| Location | Benchmark International Arena, Tampa, FL |
| Date | Saturday, March 28, 2026 |
| Puck drop | 1:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | TSN5, The Spot |
Senators vs Lightning latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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