There’s a trio of games on the ice Wednesday, Oct. 7, and my favorite NHL player props have you covered throughout the action.
Edmonton Oilers star Leon Draisaitl and Washington Capitals go-to defenseman Jakob Chychrun headline the top NHL picks on my betting card tonight.
Today's best NHL player prop picks
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
| Pick |  Probability |
|---|---|
 Josh Morrissey 1+ points - No |
55% |
 Jakob Chychrun 3+ shots |
45% |
 Leon Draisaitl 1+ goals - Yes |
47% |
Percentages courtesy of Novig, one of the best prediction market apps.
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Prop pick #1: Josh Morrissey 1+ points - No
This prop is completely mispriced, and I’d recommend it to 58%.
Winnipeg Jets No. 1 defenseman Josh Morrissey will spend the majority of his five-on-five ice time matched up against Colorado Avalanche superstar Nathan MacKinnon, and the go-to scorer has a 65.8 goals for percentage at 5-on-5 since the beginning of the 2024-25 campaign.
Morrissey's hot start includes picking up a pair of power-play assists, and he's only been on the ice for 1.03 goals per 60 minutes with a 33.3 GF% at 5-on-5.
- Matchup: Avalanche vs. Jets
- Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg, MN
- TV: Prime, ESPN+
Prop pick #2: Jakob Chychrun 3+ shots
Washington Capitals defenseman Jakob Chychrun is widely trading between 52% and 55% to record three or more shots, so this is an excellent number to target. His 7.1 shots per 60 minutes ranked fifth among regular blueliners last year, after all.
He’s driven five-on-five possession with a 52.1 Corsi For percentage since joining the Caps ahead of the 2024-25 campaign, and Chychrun finished second in power-play shots and attempts on the club last year, too.
- Matchup: Penguins vs. Capitals
- Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Capital One Arena, Washington, DC
- TV: TNT, Sportsnet+
Goal scorer pick: Leon Draisaitl 1+ goals - Yes
As long as the Edmonton Oilers are loading up superstars Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl on the same line, I’m in on No. 29 to score up to 55%. Draisaitl has already scored three times through three games with a solid underlying 1.99 individual expected goals and six high-danger scoring chances.
Of course, Draisaitl and McDavid have also been on the ice for 7.76 goals and 6.62 expected goals per 60 minutes dating back to the beginning of the 2024-25 campaign.
- Matchup: Oilers vs. Ducks
- Time: 10 p.m. ET
- Location: Honda Center, Anaheim, CA
- TV: ESPN+, Sportsnet+
- Prop picks: 8-3, +6.55 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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