Penguins vs Rangers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today’s NHL Game

Cordell's prediction: Fox steps up vs. Pittsburgh.

Todd Cordell - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Todd Cordell • Betting Analyst
Feb 28, 2026 • 08:46 ET • 3 min read

NHL

Match starts: 2 hrs
PIT
61 %
NYR
39 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Adam Fox o0.5  Points (-115) Adam Fox o0.5 Points (-115)
Read Analysis
New York Rangers NHL Adam Fox
Photo By - Reuters Connect. New York Rangers defenseman Adam Fox (23) looks to make a pass.

Adam Fox is one of the best offensive defensemen in the sport. Despite the down year for New York, he is once again producing at a 70+ point pace over a full schedule.

My Penguins vs. Rangers predictions see Fox playing a key role offensively in this Metro Division battle.

Let’s take a closer look at my NHL picks for Saturday, February 28.

Penguins vs Rangers prediction

Penguins vs Rangers best bet: Adam Fox Over 0.5 points (-115)

Injuries and the New York Rangers’ underwhelming play have obscured the fact Adam Fox has produced 28 points through 31 games.

Fox started slow but has hit the scoresheet in 10 of his last 15, including against high-end opponents like Tampa (x2), Carolina, and Colorado.

It's par for the course with Fox, who has nine points over his past nine against Top-10 teams in goals allowed. That bodes well for his chances against the Pittsburgh Penguins (seventh-most goals against)

He also QBs the No. 1 power play, and New York is 3-for-7 on the man advantage against Pittsburgh this season.

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Penguins vs Rangers same-game parlay

Fox has a strong shooting history against the Penguins, generating multiple shots in seven of the last nine head-to-head meetings.

Fox has averaged 5.1 attempts over his past 10 home games, taking 4+ in nine of them. He has 2+ shots on target in 69% of games this season when attempting four shots or more.

J.T. Miller is skating on the top line and shares the ice with Fox on the No. 1 power play unit, making him a strong correlation play.

Penguins vs Rangers SGP

  • Adam Fox Over 0.5 points
  • Adam Fox 1.5 shots on goal
  • J.T. Miller Over 0.5 points

Penguins vs Rangers odds

  • Moneyline: Pittsburgh -115 | New York -105
  • Puck line: Pittsburgh -1.5 (+215) | New York +1.5 (-270)
  • Over/Under: Over 5.5 (-130) | Under 5.5 (+110)

Penguins vs Rangers trend

Adam Fox has points in seven of his past 10 games against Pittsburgh. Find more NHL betting trends for Penguins vs. Rangers.

How to watch Penguins vs Rangers

Location Madison Square Garden, New York, NY
Date Saturday, February 28, 2026
Puck drop 12:30 p.m. ET
TV ABC

Penguins vs Rangers latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Todd Cordell - Covers
Betting Analyst

Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.

When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.

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