Lightning vs Avalanche Prediction, Picks & Same-Game Parlay for Tonight’s NHL Game

James Bisson - Head of Content, Betting
James Bisson • Head of Content, Betting 16+ years betting experience
Updated: Nov 4, 2025 , 11:24 AM ET • 3 min read

This has the makings of a coin flip between two surging teams. We're taking the underdog visitors because the plus-money pricetag is more appealing, especially when the Lightning have the better goalie in Andrei Vasilevskiy.

nhl

Nov 04 • 5:30 PM ET
Andrei Vasilevskiy Tampa Bay Lightning NHL
Photo By - Imagn Images. Lightning G Andrei Vasilevskiy looks on from between the pipes.

The second game of tonight's TNT doubleheader features the Colorado Avalanche hosting the Tampa Bay Lightning.

Tampa enters in dominant form, winning each of its past five games, and my Lightning vs. Avalanche predictions expect this trend to continue.

Read on for my NHL picks for Tuesday, November 4.

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Lightning vs Avalanche prediction

Lightning vs Avalanche Best bet: Lightning moneyline (+125)

Dominant both offensively and defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning and Colorado Avalanche each rank among the Top 6 in expected goals for per 60 minutes (xGF/60) and expected goals against per 60 minutes (xGA/60). They are the only teams in the NHL that hold this distinction.

Considering that these teams are neck and neck near the top of the league in expected goal differential per 60 minutes, the value in this coin flip goes to whichever side happens to be priced as the underdog. In this case, the Lightning. 

However, there’s another reason to like Tampa Bay in this matchup: goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy.

Vasilevskiy has found his rhythm, surrendering two or fewer goals in each of his past three starts. He is 3-0 over that stretch with a .933 save percentage and 1.31 goals-against average.

That success is likely to continue against the Avalanche, a team he has dominated over the past few years. In the past six meetings, Vasilevskiy is 5-1 with a .931 save percentage and 2.15 goals-against average.

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Lightning vs Avalanche same-game parlay

Anthony Cirelli has logged four goals during this five-game win streak, and I like him to find twine again tonight.

Meanwhile, defenseman Victor Hedman continues to log big minutes and generate scoring chances, as evidenced by the fact that he has assisted on three of Cirelli’s four goals during this stretch.

Lightning vs Avalanche SGP

  • Lightning moneyline
  • Anthony Cirelli anytime goal
  • Victor Hedman Over 0.5 assists

Lightning vs Avalanche odds

  • Moneyline: Lightning +125 | Avalanche -155
  • Puck Line: Lightning +1.5 (-190) | Avalanche -1.5 (+160)
  • Over/Under: Over 5.5 (-140) | Under 5.5 (+120)

Lightning vs Avalanche trend

Tampa Bay has won each of its past five games. Find more NHL betting trends for Lightning vs. Avalanche.

How to watch Lightning vs Avalanche

Location Ball Arena, Denver, CO
Date Tuesday, November 4, 2025
Puck drop 9:30 p.m. ET
TV TNT

Lightning vs Avalanche latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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James Bisson
Head of Content, Betting

James Bisson is the Editor-in-Chief at Covers. He has been a writer, reporter and editor for more than 20 years, including a nine-year stint with The Canadian Press and more than five years at theScore. He has covered dozens of marquee events including the 2010 Winter Olympics, the 2006 Stanley Cup final and Wrestlemania 23, and his work has appeared in more than 200 publications, including the Los Angeles Times, the Guardian, Yahoo! Sports, the Toronto Star and The Globe and Mail.

His book, “100 Greatest Canadian Sports Moments”, was a hardcover best-seller in Canada in 2008 and earned him appearances on CBC Radio and Canada AM. He has written more than 50 sportsbook reviews, more than 200 industry news articles, and dozens of other sportsbook-related content articles.

A graduate of the broadcast journalism program at Ryerson University (now Toronto Metropolitan University), James has been an avid bettor since the early 2000s, and cites bet365 as his favorite sports betting site due to its superior functionality and quick payouts. His biggest professional highlight: Covering Canada's first Olympic gold medal on home soil – and interviewing Bret Hart. Twice.

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