Blues vs Avalanche Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NHL Game

Todd Cordell - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Todd Cordell • Betting Analyst 12+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 5, 2026 , 10:11 AM ET • 3 min read

Our Blues vs. Avalanche predictions expect Brock Nelson to light the lamp against a struggling St. Louis defense.

NHL

Match starts: 6 hrs
STL
35 %
COL
65 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Brock Nelson o0.5  Goals Scored (+165) Brock Nelson o0.5 Goals Scored (+165)
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Brock Nelson Colorado Avalanche NHL
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Brock Nelson celebrates a recent goal.

Brock Nelson has piled up the chances of late, but not necessarily enjoyed the fruits of his labor.

My Blues vs. Avalanche predictions and NHL picks see Nelson’s scoring prowess returning in an advantageous matchup against St. Louis.

Blues vs Avalanche prediction

Blues vs Avalanche best bet: Brock Nelson anytime goalscorer (+185)

Brock Nelson has generated 8.56 expected goals over his past 19 games but scored only three times.

Of the 16 players with 8.5 xG or more in that span, Nelson is the only one with fewer than six goals.

He's converted on just 6.5% of his shots. That’s less than half of his career finishing rate (14.6%), and a little more than a third of his shooting percentage since joining the Colorado Avalanche (18.7%).

The Blues rank 22nd in goals against, 22nd in save percentage, and 28th in PK%, making this a natural regression spot.

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Blues vs Avalanche same-game parlay

Sam Malinski has three points and 19 shot attempts over two games without Cale Makar. He appears ready to pop in an expanded role.

Playing big minutes at 5-on-5 and quarterbacking the top power play with Nelson, there's a real correlation between the two players.

We’ll back Colorado on the moneyline to round out the SGP. They’re the league’s best team, and the St. Louis Blues have struggled mightily on the road, winning only 14 times in 38 tries.

Blues vs Avalanche SGP

  • Brock Nelson anytime goalscorer
  • Sam Malinski Over 0.5 points
  • Avalanche moneyline

Blues vs Avalanche odds

  • Moneyline: Blues +190 | Avalanche -230
  • Puck Line: Blues +1.5 (-125) | Avalanche -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under: Over 6.5 | Under 6.5

Blues vs Avalanche trend

Brock Nelson has scored in 13 of his last 30 home games. Find more NHL betting trends for Blues vs. Avalanche.

How to watch Blues vs Avalanche

Location Ball Arena, Denver, CO
Date Sunday, April 5, 2026
Puck drop 9:30 p.m. ET
TV ESPN

Blues vs Avalanche latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Todd Cordell - Covers
Betting Analyst

Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.

When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.

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