Avalanche vs Wild Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's NHL Playoffs Game 4

Todd Cordell - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Todd Cordell • Betting Analyst 12+ years betting experience
Updated: May 11, 2026 , 05:40 PM ET • 3 min read

Cordell's prediction: Cale Makar finally sees some positive results for his A-plus efforts.

NHL

Match starts: 1 hrs
COL
59 %
MIN
41 %
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Cale Makar Colorado Avalanche NHL
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Colorado Avalanche defenseman Cale Makar (8) during the first period.

Cale Makar has already cemented himself as one of the most productive playoff blueliners in NHL history, recording 90 points across just 86 postseason games.

After a frustrating showing in Game 3, tonight’s Avalanche vs. Wild predictions set up as a prime bounce-back spot for Colorado’s star defenseman to make an impact offensively.

Let’s break down my NHL picks for Monday, May 11.

  • UPDATE: Added a prediction for who will win. 

Avalanche vs Wild Game 4 prediction

Who will win Avalanche vs Wild Game 4?

Avalanche: The Colorado Avalanche tend to respond very quickly following losses. While they definitely weren’t good enough in Game 3, they still managed to generate 4.39 expected goals and a whole batch of chances. That they’ve done that every single game bodes well for their outlook in Game 4 and the series.

Avalanche vs Wild best bet: Cale Makar Over 0.5 assists (-155)

Cale Makar is always lauded for his ability to control the game from the back end and have his hand in everything — and it’s true.

The superstar Colorado Avalanche defenseman has picked up a point in at least 57% of the on-ice goals in four consecutive seasons, and never below 52%.

So far in these playoffs? We’re talking 35%. The Avalanche are piling up the goals, chances, and shots with Makar out there, and he’s driving a lot of it. He just isn’t getting many points.

Given how many touches he gets every single night, and the kind of minutes he plays, that is bound to change.

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Avalanche vs Wild Game 4 same-game parlay

Martin Necas has recorded three shots on goal in each game this series, and his attempt volume has progressively increased each game. Necas has Makar behind him a lot at 5-on-5, and the latter facilitates a lot on the power play, making the two highly correlated.

Going the other way, it’s hard not to get excited about Mats Zuccarello. He has averaged 2.7 shots on 5.0 attempts in this series and recorded multiple shots in 11 of the past 13 games against the Avalanche. They pay a ton of respect to Kirill Kaprizov, which opens things up for Zuccarello.

Avalanche vs Wild SGP

  • Cale Makar Over 0.5 assists
  • Martin Necas anytime goal
  • Mats Zuccarello Over 1.5 shots on goal

Avalanche vs Wild Game 4 goal scorer pick

Nazem Kadri (+295)

Nazem Kadri has recorded 15 shots on goal through three games, tying him for first among all players in the series. He is getting a lot of looks around the net, and his presence on the top power-play unit makes him a very strong value at this price.

Avalanche vs Wild odds for Game 4

  • Moneyline: Avalanche -135 | Wild +115
  • Puck Line: Avalanche -1.5 (+175) | Wild +1.5 (-215)
  • Over/Under: Over 6.5 (+100) | Under 6.5 (-120)

Avalanche vs Wild trend

The Colorado Avalanche have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 25 away games (+10.45 Units / 27% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Avalanche vs. Wild.

How to watch Avalanche vs Wild Game 4

Location Grand Casino Arena, St. Paul, MN
Date Monday, May 11, 2026
Puck drop 8:00 p.m. ET
TV ESPN, Sportsnet

Avalanche vs Wild latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Todd Cordell - Covers
Betting Analyst

Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.

When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.

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