It's a busy Tuesday night slate across the league, and I've found immense value in my NHL player props analysis.
I'll start things off with Zach Werenski finding his teammates in Columbus, followed by the red-hot Dylan Guenther and Brandon Hagel.
Read it all in my NHL picks for Tuesday, Oct. 13.
Today's best NHL player prop picks
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
| Pick | Probability |
|---|---|
| 63% | |
| 45% | |
| 35% |
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Prop pick #1: Zach Werenski Over 0.5 assists
Play up to 65%.
Zach Werenski currently leads the Columbus Blue Jackets with four helpers in four games after tallying an impressive 59 assists a season ago. The defenceman has also recorded three primary assists, showing how directly involved he's been in creating offense.
The underlying numbers back it up, too. Columbus has generated 48 scoring chances with Werenski on the ice, the most among any Jackets skater. They've also created 19 high-danger chances during his minutes, further highlighting his impact in the offensive end.
With Werenski consistently involved in Columbus' best scoring opportunities, I like his chances of setting up another goal against the Florida Panthers tonight.
- Matchup: Panthers vs Blue Jackets
- Time: 6:15 p.m. ET
- Location: Nationwide Arena, Columbus, OH
- TV: ESPN+
Prop pick #2: Dylan Guenther Over 3.5 shots
Play up to 50%.
Dylan Guenther has been a monster for the Utah Mammoth early on. While his six points in six games is terrific, I'm eyeing Guenther's shot volume. He's averaging 3.67 shots on goal per night, cashing the Over in four of his six appearances this season.
Guenther has generated 21 individual shot attempts, including 15 unblocked attempts. The Mammoth take on the Toronto Maple Leafs tonight, who rank 28th in SOG allowed and are also surrendering 8.3 SOG per game to right wingers.
With Guenther consistently firing the puck and drawing a favorable positional matchup, I like him to reach four shots again.
- Matchup: Maple Leafs vs Mammoth
- Time: 9 p.m. ET
- Location: Delta Center, Salt Lake City, UT
- TV: ESPN+
Goal scorer pick: Brandon Hagel
Play up to 40%.
Brandon Hagel is firing on all cylinders in front of goal for the Tampa Bay Lightning, already lighting the lamp four times in five outings. Hagel just bagged a hat trick against the Islanders, and he'll get another favorable matchup tonight.
The New York Rangers have lost Igor Shesterkin for the season due to injury, while Joonas Korpisalo is also unavailable. That leaves inexperienced Dylan Garand as New York's No. 1 option, creating a much more favorable goaltending matchup for Tampa Bay.
Additionally, Hagel leads the Bolts in individual scoring chances and high-danger chances, showing how consistently he's getting into dangerous scoring areas. With that chance volume and New York depleted in net, I like Hagel to find the back of the net again at MSG.
- Matchup: Lightning vs Rangers
- Time: 7:15 p.m. ET
- Location: Madison Square Garden, New York City, NY
- TV: ESPN+
- Prop picks: 5-10, -3.58 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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