Titans vs Jets Week 4 Picks and Predictions: King Henry Runs All Over New York

Tennessee has bounced back after a Week 1 dud and been powered to back-to-back victories by star running back Derrick Henry. Expect more of the same in this Week 4 clash against an 0-3 New York team. Find out more in our Titans vs. Jets picks.

Last Updated: Sep 30, 2021 12:06 PM ET Read Time: 3 min
Derrick Henry Tennessee Titans NFL
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Most people are probably confident in who’ll win Sunday’s clash between the Tennessee Titans and New York Jets but don’t let that stop you from reading on, as there are plenty of big betting opportunities in this game.

The Titans are 2-1 through three contests while the Jets are in a crisis already, with an 0-3 record and a rookie quarterback who has created as many problems as he’s solved for the Jets so far.

Before wagering on anything this Sunday be sure to check out our free NFL picks and predictions for Titans vs. Jets on October 3.

Titans vs Jets odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

We’ve seen the points total for Titans vs. Jets already drop by 2 points since the line opened. It opened at 46 and now sits at 44. We’ve also see the Jets move from 7 point underdogs to 7.5 points, which is one of the largest spreads of the week. Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until kickoff and be sure to check out the full NFL odds before placing your bets.

Titans vs Jets picks

Picks made on 9/30/2021 at 10:40 a.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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Titans vs Jets game info

Location: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
Date: Sunday, October 3, 2021
Time: 1:00 p.m. ET

Titans at Jets betting preview


Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NFL weather info.

Key injuries

Titans: A.J. Brown WR (Out), Julio Jones WR (Out), Caleb Farley CB (Out), Bud Dupree LB (Out), Brett Kern P (Out).
Jets: Mekhi Becton T (Out), Chuma Edoga T (Out), Marcus Maye S (Out), La'Mical Perine RB (Out), Elijah Moore WR (Out).
Find our latest NFL injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Jets are 0-3 ATS this season. Find more NFL betting trends for Titans vs. Jets.

Titans vs Jets predictions

It wasn’t supposed to be this hard. Whenever a team selects a new quarterback early in the draft we often expect miracles right away, forgetting why the team was in the position to be able to make that draft selection anyway.

The Jets have been bad this season, very, very bad. I’ll hold my hands up: I was one of those who thought with Robert Saleh in charge with promising QB Zach Wilson that we’d see an immediate uptick in the team's performance. That hasn’t quite happened and although I believe that the tide will turn eventually, it’s been ugly viewing so far.

Wilson has struggled behind an offensive line that was poor, even before injury robbed them of Mekhi Becton. His average time to pass or to see the pocket collapse has been 1.7 seconds this season. That’s seen him get sacked a league-leading 15 times, pressured 33 times, and hurried 14 times (the second-highest mark in the NFL). Those numbers highlight why it’s not all his fault but he’s also made some glaring errors and hasn’t helped his team at times.

The Jets have been beaten badly each game and failed to covered the spread in every contest this season. Now they welcome a Titans team to MetLife that has defeated the Colts and Seahawks in the past two weeks after losing to the Cardinals in Week 1.

The Titans have both AJ Brown and Julio Jones listed as questionable, but their availability shouldn’t matter much. Tennessee leaned heavily on its ground game against the Colts and it worked, and it should have no problem doing so again in this Week 4 matchup.

The Titans will take a strong and dominant lead in this game and get the W but I’m confident that we’ll see more from Wilson than we have so far in his short NFL career. The Titans are 28th in the league in defensive DVOA — worse than the Jaguars — which should mean we see the Jets score a touchdown, something we haven’t seen since Week 1.

Despite being confident that we’ll see some life from the Jets' offense, I’m also a realist and this team just doesn’t have enough to cover the spread against Tennessee, which will dominate on the ground and put the game beyond reach.

The Titans have put up 25 and 33 points in their past two games following a poor display against Arizona in which they only managed to score 13 points. The offense will be ready to put up a big score, regardless of the health of their star receivers.

The Over has cashed in seven of the Titans' last eight road games and in the past six games the Titans have played on turf.

The total is low and has only moved lower because of the poor play we’ve seen from Wilson and the Jets so far but, as I mentioned above, I believe that this is likely to change and we’ll see the Jets' highest-scoring game of the season so far. This will be the worst defense that Wilson has faced so far and one that has given up 28 points per game on average. 

The public money has backed the Under here but after the total dropped two points to a lowly 44, coupled with Tennessee's defense, we’re going to back the Over.

We’re not totally sure who we’ll see take the field for the Titans this Sunday. But we know that Brown and Jones are banged up so we’ll likely see the Titans lean on Derrick Henry once again.

In Tennessee’s season opener, we saw Henry rush for only 58 yards but he’s gone nuclear since then. He put up 182 yards on the ground against the Seahawks and then another 113 versus the Colts last Sunday. Everything is loaded in his favor here, with the Titans being banged up at wide receiver but still likely to play with a big lead — giving him a favorable game script.

The Jets' defense isn’t dreadful but they’ve allowed 98 yards to Christian McCaffrey and 89 yards to Denver’s Melvin Gordon and Javonte Williams, and I’m expecting another monster game from the man that they call King Henry. Back the Over on his rushing yards.

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