The Tennessee Titans will hope to break a four-game losing streak as they host the Houston Texans on Sunday afternoon.
Tennessee hasn’t looked competitive on either side of the ball, and I’m taking Houston to cover this week in my Texans vs. Titans predictions.
Read on to see my full analysis of this Week 11 matchup in my free NFL picks for Sunday, November 16.
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Texans vs Titans prediction
Texans vs Titans Best bet: Texans -5.5 (-120)
Sometimes it can be tough to diagnose exactly what’s wrong with a team. That’s not the case for the Tennessee Titans, who have been awful on both sides of the ball.
Much has been made of the struggles of rookie quarterback Cam Ward. The former Miami Hurricanes star and No. 1 overall pick has just five touchdown passes and 1,760 yards through the air in his first nine NFL games, and has thrown six interceptions as well – numbers that will never get a team many wins at this level.
But the defense has struggled, too. Tennessee is allowing 28.6 ppg and 6.1 yards per play, both of which rank near the bottom of the league.
The Houston Texans have simply been much better in all aspects of the game. We all know that the Texans can play defense — they are allowing just 16.7 ppg, the best mark in the NFL — but the offense isn’t just along for the ride. Even with CJ Stroud in the concussion protocol, Davis Mills has been effective behind center in the backup role, throwing for two touchdowns and running for another in the fourth quarter against the Jacksonville Jaguars last week.
The Stroud injury is probably why the line on this game is relatively small, but this shouldn’t be a one-score game. I’m taking the Texans to cover on the road.
Texans vs Titans same-game parlay
While a lot of attention in Tennessee has been on Cam Ward’s struggles at quarterback, the Titans have been awful on defense, allowing 28.6 ppg. I’m taking the Over in my SGP, and will also bet on Nick Chubb to find the endzone against a defense allowing 4.8 yards per run this year.
Texans vs Titans SGP
- Texans -5.5
- Over 37.5
- Chubb anytime TD
Our big-ticket SGP: Six CCs
Nico Collins has only three touchdowns on the season, but leads the Texans in receiving yardage and is going against a Titans defense that allows opponents to complete 71.7% of their passes.
Texans vs Titans SGP
- Texans -5.5
- Over 37.5
- Chubb anytime TD
- Collins anytime TD
Texans vs Titans odds
- Spread: Texans -5.5 | Titans +5.5
- Moneyline: Texans -250 | Titans +205
- Over/Under: Over 37.5 | Under 37.5
More NFL picks and odds from Covers
Texans vs Titans trend to know
The Titans are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games overall. Find more NFL betting trends for Texans vs. Titans.
How to watch Texans vs Titans
| Location | Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN |
| Date | Sunday, November 16, 2025 |
| Kickoff | 1:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | FOX |
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