Monday Night Football Computer Picks: Our Best Week 7 Player Prop Projections for Texans vs Seahawks

Our NFL player prop projections have called out the best value bets for Houston vs. Seattle tonight, including both of the Texans RBs having a positive evening.

Jared Hochman - Content Operations Manager at Covers.com
Jared Hochman • Content Manager
Oct 20, 2025 • 13:40 ET • 4 min read
Texans vs Seahawks computer picks Nick Chubb
Photo By - Imagn Images. Houston Texans running back Nick Chubb (21) runs during a game.

The late (and I mean that literally — it kicks off at 10 p.m. ET) leg of tonight's NFL doubleheader features the Seattle Seahawks hosting the Houston Texans.

Our NFL player prop projections have identified the best value plays for MNF props, including XYZ

Texans vs Seahawks computer picks for Monday Night Football

Texans Texans Seahawks Seahawks
Stroud o15.5 rush -110 Darnold o4.5 rush -110
Chubb o36.5 rush -110 Walker o49.5 rush -110
Marks o29.5 rush -110 Smith-Njigba TD +120
Collins o71.5 rec -110 Barner o25.5 rec -110

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Texans MNF computer picks

C.J. Stroud Over 15.5 rushing yards (-110)

Projection: 21.12 yards

Stroud is averaging 24.4 rushing yards per game and has hit 20+ in four of his five contests — and our projections expect him to hit 20+ again tonight.

Alternate-total bet
20+ yards (+135) - This price is showing good value.

Nick Chubb Over 36.5 rushing yards (-110)

Projection: 49.98 yards

Chubb is a perfect 5-for-5 in topping this number this season, and our projections expect him to again cruise past this total.

Alternate-total bet
50+ yards (+215) - Showing great value, while the safer 40+ yards at +110 is also an incredible value.

Woody Marks Over 29.5 rushing yards (-110)

Projection: 40.0 yards

Our projections also like Houston's RB2 to crush his yardage total tonight.

Alternate-total bet
40+ yards (+190) - Also shows strong value.

Nico Collins Over 71.5 receiving yards (-110)

Projection: 75.87 yards

The Texans' star receiver has cashed this in two of his last three, and we're projecting him to squeak by the Over again tonight.


More Monday Night Football picks from Covers


Seahawks MNF computer picks

Sam Darnold Over 4.5 rushing yards (-110)

Projection: 9.44 yards

Our projections expect Darnold to use his legs tonight against a relentless Houston pass rush.

Kenneth Walker III Over 6.5 receiving yards (-110)

Projection: 11.34 yards

Walker predominantly gets his yards on the ground, but our projections are higher on him to top a low receiving yardage total.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba to score a TD (+120)

Projection: 0.55 TD

JSN has found the end zone in three of his last four games, and we're projecting him to find paydirt again tonight.

A.J. Barner Over 25.5 receiving yards (-110)

Projection: 30.11 yards

Seattle's TE has topped this number in four of his last five games, and we expect him to finish above this line again tonight.

Alternate-total bet
30+ yards (+115) - Shows a small amount of value.

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Jared Hochman Content Operations Manager at Covers.com
Content Manager

Before Jared Hochman joined the Covers team in 2020, he worked for newspaper outlets such as the Chronicle Herald and The Coast, worked in marketing for SkipTheDishes and Vivid Seats, and previously ran a magazine. A journalism graduate from the University of King's College in, Halifax, N.S., "Hoch" brings more than a decade of experience in sports betting, having worked as a freelance handicapper, making appearances on Monumental Sports Network and the Sharp 600 podcast, and now also filling in occasionally as host of Covers' NHL Puck Props. 

Awarded Covers' company MVP for 2023, Jared is an avid bettor of MLB, NFL, NHL, and NBA, while also wagering on some soccer and WNBA. His best advice for sports bettors? Price shop, which is something he does daily across 10 different sportsbook apps.

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