Get set for tonight's TNF battle with my Steelers vs. Browns combos!
My free NFL picks for October 1 are backing Denzel Boston to make a major impact at some modest lines.
Best Steelers vs Browns combos
For help understanding Kalshi probabilities, see our odds calculator.
Steelers vs Browns combo
Steelers moneyline
Aaron Rodgers 200+ passing yards
Aaron Rodgers 2+ touchdown passes
Joe Osborne's Steelers vs. Browns predictions are backing a heavily-correlated parlay starring Aaron Rodgers.
"If Rodgers throws for 200 yards and multiple touchdowns, Pittsburgh’s chances of winning climb. He’s cleared both passing marks in each of his three Thursday starts since 2024.
Last Sunday offered a more immediate reason to back him: Rodgers threw for a season-high 292 yards and three touchdowns as Pittsburgh finally got its offense moving against the Bengals. I’m backing that progress to carry into Cleveland, and building the combo around the way I expect the Steelers to win."
Steelers vs Browns touchdown combo
Denzel Boston anytime TD
DK Metcalf anytime TD
Denzel Boston is third on the Browns in targets and receptions, but tied for the team lead in touchdowns with two. Interestingly, he paces Cleveland in red-zone targets with three, but hasn't hauled any in yet.
Boston has clearly developed a rapport with Deshaun Watson in short order, and his big-play ability makes his touchdown prop an appealing pick.
DK Metcalf led all Steelers receivers in red-zone targets in 2025 despite missing two games, so I'm not concerned that Rodgers has only looked his way once inside the 20 through three games.
Metcalf paces Pittsburgh in overall targets, and just scored last Sunday. He also burned this Cleveland defense for six points in their lone meeting in 2025.
Steelers vs Browns milestone combo
Denzel Boston 3+ receptions
DK Metcalf 3+ receptions
Pat Freiermuth 3+ receptions
The touchdown combo is a long shot, so let's dial up a more conservative milestone combo for TNF.
Metcalf has reached 3+ receptions in 17 of his last 18 starts. Boston has only cleared this line once through three starts, but has seen 4+ targets in all three appearances.
As for Pat Freiermuth, he can take advantage of a Browns defense that's allowed the ninth-most receiving yards to tight ends through three games. This unit was in the bottom half in the league in that department last year, too.
Start trading with Kalshi today!
Sign up now using our exclusive Kalshi promo code 'COVERS60' and trade $25 on any event contracts to get $60!
*Eligible U.S. locations only
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
