2023 NFL Season Preview: Odds, Insights and Betting Breakdowns for Every NFL Team

From the expected basement-dwellers to the Super Bowl contenders, Jason Logan breaks down every NFL team ahead of the upcoming season with futures odds, best bets, schedule quirks, star player props — and more!

Last Updated: Sep 7, 2023 9:29 AM ET Read Time: 5 min

The NFL regular season kicks off tonight (!!!), so we've gotta ask:

Are you ready for some football?

A lot has changed during the offseason, including the home addresses of Aaron Rodgers, DeAndre Hopkins, and Jalen Ramsey (to name a few), so to get you up to speed with all the player movements, draft picks, coaching changes and more leading up to Week 1, Jason Logan will preview all 32 NFL teams — including NFL odds, key matchups, and Super Bowl futures — with comprehensive breakdowns from Jason Logan AND insights from some of Covers' other biggest NFL brains!

Check out the full slate of team previews below — including Super Bowl odds, futures bets, and best player props!

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2023 NFL season previews

All odds courtesy of DraftKings.

AFC East

Team Super Bowl odds Season preview
Bills Buffalo Bills  +900 Read here!
Jets New York Jets +1,800 Read here!
Dolphins Miami Dolphins +2,500 Read here!
Patriots New England Patriots +6,500 Read here!

AFC North

Team Super Bowl odds Season preview
Bengals Cincinnati Bengals +1,100 Read here!
Ravens Baltimore Ravens +2,000 Read here!
Browns Cleveland Browns +4,000 Read here!
Steelers Pittsburgh Steelers +5,000 Read here!

AFC South

Team Super Bowl odds Season preview
Jaguars Jacksonville Jaguars +2,500 Read here!
Titans Tennessee Titans +8,000 Read here!
Colts Indianapolis Colts +10,000 Read here!
Texans Houston Texans +20,000 Read here!

AFC West

Team Super Bowl odds Season preview
Chiefs Kansas City Chiefs +600 Read here!
Chargers Los Angeles Chargers +2,500 Read here!
Broncos Denver Broncos +4,000 Read here!
Raiders Las Vegas Raiders +6,500 Read here!

NFC East

Team Super Bowl odds Season preview
Eagles Philadelphia Eagles +650 Read here!
Cowboys Dallas Cowboys +1,400 Read here!
Commanders Washington Commanders +6,500 Read here!
Giants New York Giants +6,500 Read here!

NFC North

Team Super Bowl odds Season preview
Lions Detroit Lions +2,200 Read here!
Vikings Minnesota Vikings +3,500 Read here!
Bears Chicago Bears +5,000 Read here!
Packers Green Bay Packers +6,500 Read here!

NFC South

Team Super Bowl odds Season preview
Saints New Orleans Saints +4,000 Read here!
Falcons Atlanta Falcons +6,000 Read here!
Panthers Carolina Panthers +7,000 Read here!
Buccaneers Tampa Bay Buccaneers +8,000 Read here!

NFC West

Team Super Bowl odds Season preview
49ers San Francisco 49ers +1,000 Read here!
Seahawks Seattle Seahawks +3,000 Read here!
Rams Los Angeles Rams +6,500 Read here!
Cardinals Arizona Cardinals +20,000 Read here!

Preseason NFL power ratings

The first step in handicapping NFL spreads is to measure the actual odds against your projections.

Some folks spit out an estimated spread in their head within a matter of seconds. Others rely on complex models to crunch all the analytics, simulate the season thousands of times, and carefully weigh each and every factor.

Truth be told, in the end, those estimates often come out very similar to each other.

I’m throwing my hat in the NFL power ratings ring for the 2023 season, creating a football hierarchy to help shape spreads and compare against the market.

This is by no means a complex system, deriving each team’s rating (out of 100) based on game-to-game spreads, season win totals, strength of schedule and situational spots, and a dash of good ole gut feel.  

Team Rating Spread value Home field value
Chiefs Kansas City Chiefs 80.88 21.84 2.25
Eagles Philadelphia Eagles 79.41 21.44 2.50
49ers San Francisco 49ers 76.47 20.64 2.50
Bengals Cincinnati Bengals 75.00 20.25 1.75
Bills Buffalo Bills 70.59 19.06 2.50
Jaguars Jacksonville Jaguars 67.64 18.26 1.50
Chargers Los Angeles Chargers 66.18 17.86 1.50
Ravens Baltimore Ravens 64.70 17.47 1.50
Cowboys Dallas Cowboys 63.23 17.07 2.00
Lions Detroit Lions 63.23 17.07 2.00
Saints New Orleans Saints 60.29 16.28 1.75
Jets New York Jets 59.02 15.94 2.00
Dolphins Miami Dolphins 58.82 15.88 2.50
Browns Cleveland Browns 53.40 14.42 1.50
Steelers Pittsburgh Steelers 52.94 14.29 2.25
Seahawks Seattle Seahawks 52.94 14.29 2.25
Broncos Denver Broncos 51.47 13.90 2.00
Falcons Atlanta Falcons 51.01 13.77 1.50
Vikings Minnesota Vikings 46.65 12.60 1.75
Bears Chicago Bears 45.59 12.31 2.00
Giants New York Giants 41.17 11.12 1.50
Packers Green Bay Packers 38.31 10.34 2.50
Titans Tennessee Titans 38.23 10.32 2.00
Panthers Carolina Panthers 38.23 10.32 1.75
Patriots New England Patriots 32.35 8.73 2.00
Colts Indianapolis Colts 30.45 8.22 1.50
Raiders Las Vegas Raiders 29.41 7.94 1.75
Texans Houston Texans 29.41 7.94 1.50
Rams Los Angeles Rams 29.26 7.90 1.50
Commanders Washington Commanders 27.94 7.54 1.50
Buccaneers Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20.59 5.56 1.50
Cardinals Arizona Cardinals 13.23 3.57 1.50

Now that you've seen the ratings... here’s how to use them:

The Detroit Lions visit the Kansas City Chiefs in the season opener on September 7.

  1. My NFL ratings have Kansas City’s spread value at 21.84 points (rating/100 x biggest spread margin in NFL, which is 27 points) and Detroit at 17.07 — a difference of 4.77 points.

  2. The game is being played in Arrowhead Stadium, which I have given a home-field value of 2.25 points based on KC's recent ATS success at home and the impact of the crowd and venue on opponents (home-field value has been diminishing in recent seasons, but this is a prime-time game and ring night for the Chiefs, so expect an always loud KC crowd to be “well oiled” by the time the 8:20 p.m. ET kickoff rolls around).

  3. Adding 2.25 to the margin of 4.77 points gives us a projected spread of Kansas City -7.02. That actually sits pretty close to the current spread for this Week 1 opener, with the Chiefs bouncing between -6.5 and -7 across the industry. 

Now, this is just a starting point and one slice of information to fold into your overall handicap. Not all games are as cut and dry as adding and subtracting the NFL power ratings. Things like injuries, weather, and situational challenges (and advantages) can skew a spread up and down.

You may also want to throttle those ratings in divisional matchups, since those rivals know each other well and often play tighter games (divisional underdogs covering 52.5% of the time since 2000). 

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