Los Angeles Rams running back Blake Corum could be primed for a big workload against the Denver Broncos under the Sunday Night Football lights.
My Rams vs. Broncos props and NFL picks also target Courtland Sutton and Bo Nix in a matchup that favors short gains and sustained drives.
Make sure to check out our full Rams vs. Broncos predictions for Sunday, Sept. 27, with kickoff set for 8:20 p.m. ET from Empower Field at Mile High, and the game airing on NBC.
Best Rams vs Broncos props
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| Pick |  Probability |
|---|---|
 Blake Corum 50+ rushing yards |
49% |
 Courtland Sutton longest reception u17.5 yards |
56% |
| Bo Nix 22+ completions |
51% |
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.
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Prop pick #1: Blake Corum 50+ rushing yards
The Los Angeles Rams have a legit one-two punch with Blake Corum and Kyren Williams, but Corum has been the more efficient runner so far, posting a higher rushing success rate while averaging more yards per carry and rushing yards per game.
Meanwhile, the Denver Broncos are giving up 5.1 yards per carry, which ranks 30th in the NFL, and All-Pro wideout Puka Nacua is doubtful. That has me expecting a run-heavy game plan from Rams head coach Sean McVay.
Corum has rushed for 50+ yards in seven of his 10 regular-season and playoff games with at least 10 carries. With Nacua potentially sidelined, another double-digit-carry workload for Corum is well within reach.
Prop pick #2: Courtland Sutton longest reception Under 17.5 yards
The Under on Denver Broncos WR Courtland Sutton's longest reception prop is tradable up to 59%.
According to Warren Sharp, the Rams have the third-lowest explosive-play rate on defense, while Denver's offense ranks in the bottom third in explosive-play rate. Styles make fights, and the Broncos may have to dink-and-dunk their way downfield.
Sutton's longest receptions are just six and 10 yards through two games, and Jaylen Waddle's arrival has effectively pushed him into the WR2 role.
Prop pick #3: Bo Nix 22+ completions
I'd be willing to trade up to 24 for Bo Nix's pass completion prop. Sean Payton has built a quick, high-percentage passing game around his quarterback, and Nix rarely pushes the ball downfield.
Since his rookie season in 2024, Nix ranks 36th out of 38 qualified quarterbacks in air yards per attempt, according to RBSDM.com. In other words, Bo is the king of the checkdown.
Nix has completed 22+ passes in 23 of his 38 career regular-season and playoff games. Since I like the Rams to win outright, I'm expecting Denver to spend more time playing from behind, forcing Nix to drop back and pile up short completions.
- Prop picks: 7-5, +1.69 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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