Tonight's Panthers vs. Packers computer picks headline Week 8 Thursday Night Football, with the 3-3 Panthers visiting the 4-3 Packers at Lambeau Field. Kickoff is today at 8:15 p.m. ET on Prime Video, and Green Bay is a 3.5-point home favorite.
Carolina won 16-13 at Lambeau last November, and this one sets up as a tight, pass-friendly game. Our eight player-prop picks are all Overs or anytime touchdowns, led by Bryce Young's passing yards, Jordan Love's completions, and a pair of Matthew Golden props. See what our Covers prop projections suggest for each player, and check out more NFL picks for Week 8.
Golden is listed as questionable with shoulder and foot issues, so check his status before trading either of his markets.
Panthers vs Packers computer picks
For help understanding Kalshi probabilities, see our odds calculator.
 Panthers |
 Packers |
|---|---|
| Bryce Young o249.5 passing yards 52% |
Jordan Love o21.5 completions 52% |
| Chuba Hubbard o69.5 rushing yards 46% |
Josh Jacobs o59.5 rushing yards 52% |
| Darren Waller o19.5 receiving yards 53% |
Matthew Golden o59.5 receiving yards 52% |
| Tetairoa McMillan anytime touchdown 33% |
Matthew Golden anytime touchdown 36% |
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.
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Panthers vs Packers prop analysis
Panthers computer picks
Bryce Young Over 249.5 passing yards (52%)
Projection: 264.05 passing yards
The Carolina Panthers are 3.5-point road underdogs, a script that should keep Bryce Young throwing. He has averaged 285.3 passing yards through six games and topped 280 in five of them, including 281 at Philadelphia. His 163-yard, two-interception clunker in last week's 43-13 loss to the Buccaneers is the outlier, and our 264.05-yard projection sits about 14.5 yards above this line.
🔥 Trade Young passing yards now
Chuba Hubbard Over 69.5 rushing yards (46%)
Projection: 74.62 rushing yards
Chuba Hubbard got just seven carries last week because Carolina fell behind early against Tampa Bay, but a one-score game at Lambeau should bring his workload back toward normal. Green Bay has also allowed 10 rushing touchdowns to running backs, which points to a defense that can be run on near the goal line. Our model projects 74.62 rushing yards, about five above the 69.5-yard line, though Kalshi's 46% price shows the market is not convinced.
🔥 Trade Hubbard rushing yards now
Darren Waller Over 19.5 receiving yards (53%)
Projection: 26.09 receiving yards
Darren Waller has 14 catches for 198 yards and three touchdowns in six games, and he's cleared 19.5 receiving yards in five of them. That includes a 50-yard touchdown on his only catch last week. His target volume is modest, with two in each of the last two games, but our 26.09-yard projection leaves a cushion of more than six yards.
🔥 Trade Waller receiving yards now
Tetairoa McMillan anytime touchdown (33%)
Projection: 0.44 touchdowns
Tetairoa McMillan has 36 catches for 511 yards this season and has drawn at least five targets in every game. Both of his touchdowns came in a 14-catch, 192-yard game against Detroit on Oct. 4, so scoring has been streaky. Our model projects 0.44 touchdowns, a separate number from Kalshi's 33% price, and a close game gives Carolina a better shot at the red-zone looks he needs.
🔥 Trade McMillan anytime touchdown now
Packers computer picks
Jordan Love Over 21.5 completions (52%)
Projection: 23.59 completions
Jordan Love has completed 162 of 271 passes through seven games, an average of 23.1 completions that has cleared 21.5 in five of them. He went 27-for-45 at Detroit last week, and the Green Bay Packers face a Carolina secondary missing cornerbacks Akayleb Evans, Jaycee Horn, and Mike Jackson. The risk is a reshuffled offensive line against a Panthers pass rush that ranks sixth in pressure rate, but our 23.59-completion projection is more than two above the line.
Josh Jacobs Over 59.5 rushing yards (52%)
Projection: 61.25 rushing yards
This is a matchup-driven pick for Josh Jacobs. Carolina is allowing a league-worst 153.2 rushing yards per game, while Green Bay's rushing attack has averaged just under 60 yards per game through Week 7, and Jacobs managed 36 yards on 11 carries at Detroit. Our model projects 61.25 rushing yards, less than two above the line, so the edge is slim.
🔥 Trade Jacobs rushing yards now
Matthew Golden Over 59.5 receiving yards (52%)
Projection: 74.13 receiving yards
Matthew Golden has 540 receiving yards through seven games and posted 100+ yards in three of them, including 104 against Dallas. He managed only 39 yards on six catches last week while playing through shoulder pain, and he's questionable for tonight with shoulder and foot issues. Our model projects 74.13 receiving yards, nearly 15 above the line, so his availability is the key variable here.
🔥 Trade Golden receiving yards now
Matthew Golden anytime touchdown (36%)
Projection: 0.52 touchdowns
Golden has scored three touchdowns in seven games and has seen 25 targets over Green Bay's last two. The Packers rank 30th in red-zone touchdown rate, which keeps this a speculative price. Our model projects 0.52 touchdowns, a mean rather than a scoring probability, and Kalshi lists the anytime market at 36%. His questionable tag matters here too.
🔥 Trade Golden anytime touchdown now
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