The 5-5 Carolina Panthers travel to Mercedes-Benz Stadium this afternoon for a pivotal NFC South matchup against the 3-6 Atlanta Falcons.
Atlanta’s pass defense is the best in the league, and my Panthers vs. Falcons predictions and NFL picks will explain why I expect them to limit Bryce Young.
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Panthers vs Falcons prediction
Panthers vs Falcons Best bet: Bryce Young Under 162.5 passing yards (-114)
Bryce Young is having a respectable campaign as he continues to try to live up to the billing of a first overall pick. The signal-caller has thrown for 1,514 yards and 11 touchdowns against seven interceptions.
However, he’s cashed the Under in passing yards in three of his last four contests. In a loss to the New Orleans Saints in Week 10, Young threw for just 124 yards through the air. In five games on the road this season, he’s cashed the Under in passing yards in four of them. Young threw for just 120 yards against Atlanta earlier in the year.
As I previously mentioned, the Atlanta Falcons have an uber-talented secondary. They’re allowing the lowest number of passing yards in the NFL, and that brilliance should come in handy Sunday as they look to keep Young in check.
Panthers vs Falcons same-game parlay
Bijan Robinson has been up and down at times in 2025, but there’s no doubt he’s on track to become one of the best running backs in the league. The former Texas Longhorn has cashed the Over in rushing yards in three of his last six appearances.
Robinson balled out in Week 10, rushing for 84 yards in a gut-wrenching OT loss to the Indianapolis Colts. He ran for 72 yards in September against the Carolina Panthers, and their run defense is 17th, allowing 111.9 yards on the ground per contest.
Perhaps this isn’t the most popular pick, but the last time Tetairoa McMillan faced the Falcons, he had just three receptions. Again, Atlanta makes life difficult on opposing pass offenses, and McMillan has hit the Under in catches in two of his previous four games.
Panthers vs Falcons SGP
- Bryce Young Under 162.5 passing yards
- Bijan Robinson Over 72.5 rushing yards
- Tetairoa McMillan Under 4.5 receptions
Our big-ticket SGP: Time for payback
Atlanta has lost four in a row, but there’s no better time to respond at home than against a divisional rival who smacked them in late September. Their last two defeats have been very close, and they covered the spread in Week 9 against New England.
Panthers vs Falcons SGP
- Bryce Young Under 162.5 passing yards
- Bijan Robinson Over 72.5 rushing yards
- Tetairoa McMillan Under 4.5 receptions
- Falcons -3.5
Panthers vs Falcons game predictions
Panthers vs Falcons moneyline prediction
The Falcons have played a couple of respectable games over the last two weeks. They barely lost to the Patriots, and then Atlanta gave a very good Colts team a serious run for their money.
The Falcons now return home, where they’ve gone 2-2. There’s no shortage of motivation after Carolina beat them 30-0 in Week 3. Atlanta will respond.
Panthers vs Falcons spread prediction
The spread is favoring the Falcons at 3.5 points, and again, they covered in Week 9 versus New England, and they’re 2-2 ATS at home.
I don’t believe you’ll see Atlanta falter again here. It will be a clean game, and they will manage to cover this very small spread.
Panthers vs Falcons Over/Under prediction
The Over/Under is set at 42.5 points. The Under cashed in Week 3 as Atlanta failed to score a single point. The Falcons’ last three games have hit the Over, while Carolina’s last two have cashed the Under.
Both of these teams are towards the bottom of the league in scoring, so the Under looks like the best value here.
Panthers vs Falcons odds
- Spread: Carolina +3.5 | Atlanta -3.5
- Moneyline: Carolina +166 | Atlanta -198
- Over/Under: Over 41.5 | Under 41.5
More NFL picks and odds from Covers
Panthers vs Falcons trend to know
The Falcons have only cashed the moneyline in five of their last 19 games for -14.65 units and a -46% ROI. Find more NFL betting trends for Panthers vs. Falcons.
How to watch Panthers vs Falcons
| Location | Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA |
| Date | Sunday, November 16, 2025 |
| Kickoff | 1:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | FOX |
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