Packers vs Vikings Predictions, Picks & Best Bets for Today's NFL Week 18 Game

Allen's prediction: Points won't come often this afternoon.

Quinn Allen - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Quinn Allen • Betting Analyst
Jan 4, 2026 • 09:41 ET • 4 min read

NFL

Jan 04 • 1:00 PM ET
MIN
48 %
GB
52 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
u36.5 (-113)
See Today's Picks
Promo image for Packers vs. Vikings, including Christian Watson and Justin Jefferson.
Photo By - Imagn Images. Promo image for Packers vs. Vikings, including Christian Watson and Justin Jefferson.

The playoff-bound Green Bay Packers travel to Minneapolis this afternoon to close out the regular season against the Minnesota Vikings at U.S. Bank Stadium.

With numerous key players injured, my Packers vs. Vikings predictions and NFL picks confidently eye the Under.

Packers vs Vikings prediction

Packers vs Vikings Best bet: Under 36.5 (-111)

The Green Bay Packers have already locked down the No. 7 seed in the NFC, and they'll sit Jordan Love here as he continues to recover from a concussion.

Meanwhile, the Minnesota Vikings are out of the playoff picture despite their four-game winning run, and J.J. McCarthy is expected to play after recovering from an injury.

Clayton Tune has little NFL experience, and I’m not exactly expecting him to light it up offensively. McCarthy hasn’t played in a couple of weeks as well, and he’s been relatively inconsistent when available.

Both starting running backs are also sidelined, as Josh Jacobs and Aaron Jones are injured. Hammer the Under. 

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Packers vs Vikings same-game parlay

McCarthy has finished Under his passing yards total in four of his last five contests. Last time out, he threw for just 108 yards despite the Vikings still earning the win.

Justin Jefferson has struggled to find chemistry with McCarthy this season, and the numbers reflect that. While he’s on the verge of another 1,000-yard campaign, the star wideout has just two touchdowns and hasn’t been heavily involved of late.

Jefferson has also hit the Under on his receiving yards in four of his last five appearances. On Christmas, he managed only four catches for 30 yards and has totaled just two receptions in three of his past five games.

Packers vs Vikings SGP

  • Under 36.5
  • J.J. McCarthy Under 186.5 passing yards
  • Justin Jefferson Under 69.5 receiving yards

Our big-ticket SGP: Under Gang

Jordan Mason has failed to clear his rushing yards O/U in all but two games this season, and the last time he went Over came back in September.

Packers vs Vikings SGP

  • Under 36.5
  • J.J. McCarthy Under 186.5 passing yards
  • Justin Jefferson Under 69.5 receiving yards
  • Jordan Mason Under 67.5 rushing yards

Packers vs Vikings game predictions

Packers vs Vikings moneyline prediction

The Vikings are a heavy -500 moneyline favorite, which clearly offers no value. However, they’re definitely healthier than the Packers right now, and they’ve won four straight. The Packers are already the No. 7 seed in the NFC. Minnesota should win this.

Packers vs Vikings spread prediction

Minnesota is also laying 8.5 points on the spread. They’ve covered that line in two of their four game during this unbeaten run, most recently taking down the Lions by 13 points last weekend. In fact, in both of those games where they covered this spread, the Vikings were also playing at home. They should cover again.

Packers vs Vikings Over/Under prediction

As previously mentioned, the Under is set at only 36.5. Again, the Packers do not have much to work with offensively right now as they rest up for the playoffs, while the Vikings aren’t exactly lighting up the scoresheet, either. It’ll be a cagey game.

Packers vs Vikings odds

  • Spread: Packers +6.5 | Vikings -6.5
  • Moneyline: Packers +260 | Vikings -325
  • Over/Under: Over 37.5 | Under 37.5 

More NFL picks and odds from Covers


Packers vs Vikings trend to know

The Packers have cashed the Over in seven of their last 10 road games for +3.70 units and a 34% ROI. Find more NFL betting trends for Packers vs. Vikings.

How to watch Packers vs Vikings

Location U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
Date Sunday, January 4, 2026
Kickoff 1:00 p.m. ET
TV CBS

Packers vs Vikings latest injuries

Packers vs Vikings weather

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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Quinn Allen - Covers
Betting Analyst

Quinn Allen is an experienced sports journalist from Vancouver, Canada who fell in love with sports by the time he could walk. He proceeded to play high-level baseball and soccer growing up and eventually played college baseball in the United States.

After his career ended, Quinn received his broadcast journalism degree from BCIT and has since written for many sports publications including ClutchPoints, Gino Hard, and RG, where he plies his trade as a writer and editor.

Quinn's favorite team is Chelsea FC and he'd like to watch a match at Stamford Bridge one day. He loves to bet on NBA player props and encourages others to bet responsibly and not chase losses.

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