The Rams and Commanders are putting two ridiculous Over records on a collision course, the Cowboys and Colts are about to produce 60 minutes of evidence that neither defensive coordinator should be allowed near a football field, and the Raiders have turned into one of the NFL's most entertaining scoring machines.
Let's dig into my Week 9 Over/Under picks! For more predictions, check out our NFL picks.
NFL Week 9 Over/Under picks
LAR vs 
WAS
DAL vs 
IND
LV vs 
SFPercentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.
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Expert Week 9 NFL Over/Under picks
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Rams vs Commanders: Over 48.5
We've got a beautiful marriage of trends in Washington. The Rams are 13-2 to the Over in their last 15 road games, while the Commanders are 13-3 to the Over in their last 16 home games.
But this isn't just about blindly backing trends.
Washington's defense ranks 26th in scoring, 25th on third downs, and 31st in red-zone touchdown rate. Meanwhile, Jayden Daniels has given the offense some life, with Washington scoring exactly 27 points in both home games he's played in this season.
We're also getting a nice bargain on this number, with both teams coming off games against pathetic offenses that scored just 19 combined points.
Cowboys vs Colts: Over 51.5
This is a manageable number for a Cowboys game. Don't overthink it.
Five Dallas games have already reached at least 57 combined points, and this total has likely taken a hit thanks to Indianapolis scoring an embarrassing seven points last week.
But the Colts are capable of contributing. Indianapolis hasn’t had the easiest schedule of opposing defenses. The last time they faced a truly bad one, they scored 30 vs. the Commanders.
And this might be the worst defensive matchup we'll see all season. Both teams rank 27th or worse in points allowed and yards per play allowed. Dallas is dead-last on third downs, while Indy ranks 30th in QB pressure percentage.
Worried about relying on Daniel Jones? Fair. But Dallas just surrendered 23 fourth-quarter and overtime points to Gardner Minshew.
If Minshew can do that, Jones should at least be able to deliver a performance that doesn't result in his family cutting off all contact.
Raiders vs 49ers: Over 51.5
The Raiders have turned into an Over bettor's dream thanks to an offense averaging 27.6 points per game and a defense that could surrender 400 yards to a group of divorced dads playing flag football.
The result? Six straight Overs, with those games averaging an absurd 61.8 combined points. Every one of them has cleared 51.5.
Expect San Francisco to do plenty of the heavy lifting here. The 49ers lead the NFL in yards per play and should have plenty of offensive firepower coming off a loss and a bye. Last season, they emerged from their bye and hung 37 points on Tennessee.
Their defense is solid, but they've allowed 29 points in two of their last three games.
The Raiders have more than enough ability to help push this Over the number.
Week 9 Over/Under combo
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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