Suddenly, two new challengers are emerging in the 2026-27 NFL Rookie of the Year odds.
The favorites remain the same, with the Miami Dolphins' Jacob Rodriguez growing his lead atop the DROY odds, and the Arizona Cardinals' Jeremiyah Love falling back a little but still maintaining his advantage in the OROY odds.
However, Tennessee Titans wide receiver Carnell Tate just produced a standout week while rocketing up to sit not far behind Love, and Arvell Reese did the same to become a threat just adrift of Rodriguez.
Let's take a look at the latest NFL odds for Offensive ROY and Defensive ROY after Week 4, and make some NFL Rookie of the Year predictions.
NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds
| Player Name |  Probability |
|---|---|
 Jeremiyah Love |
33% |
 Carnell Tate |
24% |
 Denzel Boston |
18% |
 Makai Lemon |
4% |
 Fernando Mendoza |
3% |
| KC Concepcion |
3% |
 Antonio Williams |
2% |
| Carson Beck |
2% |
Odds as of 10-5. Percentages courtesy of Kalshi.
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NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year prediction
Although Carnell Tate isn’t flashy and spent the majority of his time in the shadow of both Jeremiah Smith and Emeka Egbuka at Ohio State, he’s an excellent route runner who brings little ego to a Tennessee Titans offense looking for a No. 1 WR.
Tate was an appealing value play while sitting fifth for a while in this market. But he shot up quickly after erupting for 145 yards on nine catches in Week 4, closing the gap fast behind the favorite Jeremiyah Love.
He should continue to get plenty of opportunities on a Titans team that will often be playing from behind.
OROY Pick: Carnell Tate (24% probability at Kalshi)
NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year odds
| Player Name | Probability |
|---|---|
 Jacob Rodriguez |
36% |
 Arvell Reese |
30% |
| Sonny Styles |
13% |
 Mansoor Delane |
6% |
 Dillon Thieneman |
5% |
 David Bailey |
4% |
| Anthony Hill Jr. |
3% |
 Caleb Downs |
3% |
Odds as of 10-5. Percentages courtesy of Kalshi.
Kalshi is a regulated financial exchange where you trade on real-world event outcomes. Instead of traditional odds, prices are listed as percentages (0-100%), representing the market’s estimated probability of an event occurring.
NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year prediction
The New York Jets snagged their edge rusher at No. 2 after selecting David Bailey, who’s fresh off a 14.5-sack season with Texas Tech.
Paired with Will McDonald IV on the other side, the two could complement each other well and give the Gang Green rookie a boost. Bailey shined in Week 1 while recording four tackles and a sack. He followed that up with another sack in Week 2, alongside three tackles (including one for a loss) and a quarterback hit. Bailey then notched a season-best five tackles in Week 3, including one for a loss.
He's slid down since then, mostly due to the play of others rather than him stumbling. Notably, Arvell Reese of the New York Giants snagged an interception along with recording nine tackles in Week 4.
DROY Pick: David Bailey (4% probability at Kalshi)
Popular NFL futures markets
NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year history
Here's a look at the recent award history (preseason favorite and winner odds courtesy of Sports Odds History):
| Year | Favorite | Winner |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 |  Ashton Jeanty |
 Tetairoa McMillan |
| 2024 | Caleb Williams |
Jayden Daniels |
| 2023 |  Bijan Robinson |
 C.J. Stroud |
| 2022 |  George Pickens & Kenny Pickett |
Garrett Wilson |
| 2021 |  Trevor Lawrence |
 Ja'Marr Chase |
| 2020 | Joe Burrow |
 Justin Herbert |
| 2019 | Kyler Murray |
Kyler Murray |
| 2018 | Saquon Barkley |
Saquon Barkley |
| 2017 | Leonard Fournette |
 Alvin Kamara |
| 2016 | Ezekiel Elliott |
Dak Prescott |
NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year winners by position
| Position | OROY winners |
|---|---|
| Running back | 40 |
| Quarterback | 12 |
| Wide Receiver | 2 |
| Tight end | 1 |
Bears legend Mike Ditka became the first — and so far only — tight end to win Offensive Rookie of the Year when he received the honor in 1961.
NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year history
Here's a look at the recent award history (preseason favorite and winner odds courtesy of Sports Odds History):
| Year | Favorite | Winner |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Abdul Carter |
 Carson Schwesinger |
| 2024 |  Dallas Turner and  Laiatu Latu |
 Jared Verse |
| 2023 | Will Anderson Jr. |
Will Anderson Jr. |
| 2022 |  Aidan Hutchinson |
Ahmad "Sauce" Gardner |
| 2021 | Micah Parsons |
Micah Parsons |
| 2020 | Chase Young |
Chase Young |
| 2019 | Devin Bush |
 Nick Bosa |
| 2018 |  Bradley Chubb |
Shaquille Leonard |
| 2017 | Reuben Foster |
Marshon Lattimore |
NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year winners by position
| Position | DROY winners |
|---|---|
| Linebacker | 29 |
| Defensive end | 13 |
| Cornerback | 10 |
| Defensive tackle | 7 |
| Safety | 2 |
A safety hasn’t won NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year honors in over 20 years, dating back to when Mark Carrier (1990) and Erik McMillan (1988) won the award twice over a three-year span.
NFL Rookie of the Year FAQ
Jeremiyah Love is the current favorite to win Offensive Rookie of the Year, while Rueben Bain Jr. tops the Defensive Rookie of the Year odds.
Tetairoa McMillan was named the Offensive Rookie of the Year, while Carson Schwesinger was the Defensive Rookie of the Year.
The last No. 1 overall pick to win Offensive Rookie of the Year was Kyler Murray in 2019.
