Vikings vs Broncos Prediction, Picks & Odds for Friday's NFL Preseason Game

Eric Rosales - Contributor at Covers.com
Eric Rosales • Betting Analyst 27+ years betting experience
Updated: Aug 27, 2026 , 09:20 AM ET • 4 min read

Sean Payton's Broncos have a huge edge in continuity, depth, and cohesion in this game.

NFL

Match starts: 34 hrs
MIN
0 %
DEN
0 %
EXPERT PICK - SPREAD
Denver -3.5 (-110) Denver -3.5 (-110)
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Jarrett Stidham Denver Broncos NFL
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Jarrett Stidham drops back to pass against the Packers.

The Denver Broncos wrap up their NFL preseason slate Friday night at home when they host the Minnesota Vikings.

With backups expected to eat up most of the playing time, my Vikings vs. Broncos prediction leans on a Denver team that's deeper and more talented across the board.

Action gets underway at 9 p.m. ET from Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, CO. Follow below for my NFL picks.

Vikings vs Broncos prediction

Pick Kalshi
Probability
Broncos -3.5 63%
Under 37.5 52%

Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.

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 TOP PICK
Who will win Vikings vs Broncos: Broncos -3.5 

Kalshi probability: 62%

The Denver Broncos quarterbacks have plenty to play for, with Jarrett Stidham and Sam Ehlinger battling for the QB2 spot on the depth chart, while Audric Estimé, Jaleel McLaughlin and Blake Watson compete for backup RB reps.

The Minnesota Vikings have their own QB2 battle between JJ McCarthy and Carson Wentz, but the Vikings are still in flux as they integrate a new QB. They could rely on five rookie contributors in Week 1.

Denver has more cohesion, depth, and continuity under Sean Payton, while Minnesota faces a steeper adjustment. Add the Mile High factor, and the Broncos have a sizable edge in this preseason finale. 

I’d back the Broncos up to -4.5.

Vikings vs Broncos Over/Under pick: Under 37.5

Kalshi probability: 52%

Denver essentially ran it back, returning 20 of 22 starters from its AFC title team and resigning 17 key free agents. That continuity should make its backups better equipped to handle extended preseason reps, particularly on defense.

That unit should rebound after getting lit up by the Packers, especially against a Minnesota offense that's managed just 16 points in two games.

Meanwhile, the Vikings’ defense has been good this preseason, allowing 23 points across two outings, and Sean Payton should keep things vanilla in the finale, keeping explosive plays to a minimum. This has all the makings of a low-scoring affair.

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How to watch Vikings vs Broncos

Location Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO
Date Friday, Aug. 28, 2026
Kickoff 9 p.m. ET
TV NFL Network

Vikings vs Broncos latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Eric Rosales - Covers
Betting Analyst

Eric has been involved in sports media in many different capacities since graduating from journalism school in 1999, back when getting your own column in a newspaper was still considered a thing. He doubled down and graduated from broadcast journalism school five years later, which led to a move to Toronto and a career with The Sports Network (TSN). From behind-the-scenes production work, he moved into the digital realm, where he had his own hoops column (At the Buzzer), while regularly live streaming and chatting with fans during broadcasts as the character known as LeBlog James. He was also a key contributor to TSN and CTV’s Olympic programming during the 2012 London Games.

Eric eventually found his way into the sports betting field in 2016 and has been a mainstay ever since. He was tagged on Twitter as a Top 10 NBA sharp during the 2021 season and has been interviewed about basketball and his handicapping process on shows from Vancouver to India. Eric is now a jack-of-all-sports at Covers, where his predictions span the alphabet soup: NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, F1, WNBA, Euro, and Copa.

When making picks, he focuses on finding value first and foremost, and ensuring readers have all the information they need to make an informed choice.

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