Matthew Stafford Odds, Picks & Predictions for Divisional Round

With freezing temperatures setting in across the Windy City, expect a run-first game plan to slice into Matthew Stafford’s workload against Chicago.

Trevor Knapp - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Trevor Knapp • Betting Analyst
Jan 18, 2026 • 07:00 ET • 4 min read
Matthew Stafford Los Angeles Rams NFL
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Los Angeles Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford (9) signals at the line.

Soldier Field is the venue for tonight’s Divisional Round showdown between the Los Angeles Rams and the Chicago Bears.

All eyes will be on the quarterback matchup between Matthew Stafford and Caleb Williams, but the Midwest elements could hinder the aerial attack for each side.

We’ve got you covered on how to bet on the Rams pivot, as our NFL player prop projections break down the latest Matthew Stafford odds for Sunday, January 18.

Matthew Stafford predictions for the Divisional Round

Market Proj. Odds Value
Rushing yards
(0.5)
1.3 Over 0.5
+134
A+
Passing attempts
(34.5)
36.6 Over 34.5
-108
A
Passing yards
(263.5)
262.5 Under 263.5
-114
B+
Passing touchdowns
(2.5)
1.9 Under 2.5
-220
B+
Passing completions
(22.5)
22.3 Under 22.5
-122
B

Freezing temperatures, gusty winds, and the chance of flurries are expected in Chicago, creating tough conditions for Matthew Stafford to air it out. 

While the 37‑year‑old is coming off an MVP‑caliber campaign, our computer expects a run‑heavy script for the Rams, with RBs Kyren Williams and Blake Corum doing the heavy lifting on the ground in the freezing conditions at Soldier Field.

Our projection has Stafford finishing under his passing yards, completions, and touchdown props, but conditions and game flow could also leave room for a few rushing yards by the veteran signal-caller.

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Matthew Stafford same-game parlay for the Divisional Round

Over 0.5 rushing yards

Under 263.5 passing yards

Under 2.5 passing touchdowns

This fully correlated parlay assumes Stafford will dial back his usual gunslinging approach, reflecting how the weather could influence Sean McVay’s offensive gameplan and limit the Rams’ passing attack.

A 30% profit boost at FanDuel is also available for a 3+ leg SGP on tonight's game, pushing the payout to +464 if applied.


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Trevor Knapp - Covers
Betting Analyst

Trevor joined the Covers content team as a publishing editor in early 2022. Growing up in Vancouver, he studied Broadcast and Online Journalism at the British Columbia Institute of Technology (BCIT), and interned with TSN and Sportsnet Radio while also writing for the Daily Hive.

An avid bettor of the MLB, NFL, and CFL, Trevor advises his fellow sports bettors to leave their hearts at the door and not hesitate to fade their favorite team. It's a strategy he follows regularly as an apathetic Indianapolis Colts and Toronto Blue Jays fan.

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