Lions vs Bills Combo Picks for Thursday Night Football

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan • Senior Betting Analyst 21+ years betting experience
Updated: Sep 17, 2026 , 04:00 PM ET • 4 min read

Thursday's non-conference clash between the Lions and Bills could be the most fun game of Week 2. Jason Logan spreads that joy with his favorite combo trades for TNF.

Buffalo Bills running back James Cook III.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Buffalo Bills running back James Cook III.

Regardless of whether you’re a fan of the Buffalo Bills or Detroit Lions, tonight's non-conference clash just looks like a fun football game.

Not only do we have two high-powered offenses, but the stage for this prime-time tilt is a brand-new Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park.

Let's get the blood pumping to kick off Week 2 with some fun NFL picks to power my Lions vs. Bills combos for Sept. 17.

Make sure to also check out my full Lions vs. Bills predictions for this evening, with kickoff set for 8:15 p.m. ET on Prime Video.

Best Lions vs Bills combos for Week 2

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Lions vs Bills combo

Bills to win

Josh Allen 30+ rushing yards

Amon-Ra St. Brown 8+ receptions

There’s no way the Buffalo Bills lose the first game inside their new stadium, right? I don’t see a blowout by any means, but Buffalo looked mighty in Week 1. The Bills hung a ton of points on Houston’s top-rated stop unit, and the Mafia will be well-oiled and out in force.

Josh Allen is going to do everything he can to get this win, including tearing up the turf with his legs. The Lions were very aggressive in Week 1, blitzing at the third-highest rate for five sacks. Allen will take off from pressure, on top of calling his own number, and projections call for 30+ rushing yards.

On the other side, Detroit Lions' top target Amon-Ra St. Brown is coming off a busy Week 1 in which he caught 10 of 14 passes his way. The slot receiver can exploit a soft spot in the Bills' coverage, and with Buffalo pressing a banged-up Lions O-line, Jared Goff will look to St. Brown as a quick hit to avoid pressure. 

Lions vs Bills touchdown combo

James Cook III

Amon-Ra St. Brown

James Cook was lightly used in Buffalo's Week 1 shootout against Houston, and offensive coordinator Pete Carmichael told the media they need to get the ball in his hands going forward. Let’s hope that means seeing more touches in the red zone.

St. Brown caught two touchdowns in Week 1, and I like him to strike again in Week 2. Bills defensive coordinator Jim Leonhard rolled out a lot of zone coverage against the Texans, and St. Brown ranks among the elite WRs against zone at PFF.

Lions vs Bills milestone combo

Amon-Ra St. Brown 10+ receptions

Jahmyr Gibbs 50+ receiving yards

Josh Allen 50+ rushing yards

St. Brown had 10 receptions in Week 1, and given the spread and totals, game script suggests Detroit will be playing from behind and needing to pass.
 
Jahmyr Gibbs caught all five passes his way in Week 1, amassing 30 yards. Not only is he a checkdown option, but the Lions ran designed passes for him. Once the ball is in Gibbs' hands, he’s a threat for big gains.

Allen ran only six times in Week 1, picking up 23 yards. When it comes to high-stakes matchups, Allen decides to do it all. Last year, he ran for 66 yards in a playoff loss to Denver, 78 in a showdown with Cincinnati, and 53 in an AFC East rivalry with New England. 

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Jason Logan Senior Industry Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst Jason Logan has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike.

Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet.

He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous NFL Underdogs column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jason's first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns.

On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast at stations like WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio, Jason's analysis has also been featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers' flagship podcast, The Sharp 600.

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