Set your alarms, folks, we’ve got more early-morning NFL football on Sunday when the Atlanta Falcons and Indianapolis Colts face off in Berlin.
The Jonathan Taylor odds for this game provide us with some great value as he looks to set franchise history against an Atlanta defense that has struggled at times against the run.
Read on for my NFL picks when the Falcons and Colts face off on November 9.
Jonathan Taylor prop pick
Jonathan Taylor best bet: To score 2+ touchdowns (+190 at FanDuel)
Don’t think for one second that Jonathan Taylor isn’t aware of what he can accomplish this weekend.
With a pair of rushing touchdowns against the Atlanta Falcons, Taylor can set a new Indianapolis Colts team record for career rushing scores. He sits at 63 after just 76 games, and his next touchdown would tie Edgerrin James, who played in 96 games for the Colts.
The Falcons have only allowed five rushing scores this season, but they’ve only faced one back of Taylor’s quality. That was Christian McCaffrey, who ran for 129 yards and two scores on 24 carries to help the 49ers to victory.
Taylor had the chance to tie or break the record last weekend against the Steelers, and he had his worst game of the season. He gained just 57 total yards on 12 touches and was kept from the endzone for the first time since September.
Atlanta ranks sixth in opponent completion percentage, but it is 20th in yards allowed per carry and 23rd in total rush yards surrendered per game. The Falcons also sit 30th in red zone scoring defense.
Taylor should see plenty of carries and will get the ball on multiple dump-offs against a solid Falcons secondary. Look for him to post his fifth multi-touchdown game in eight outings as he puts his name into the history books.
Jonathan Taylor same-game parlay
Jonathan Taylor 2+ touchdowns
Jonathan Taylor Over 17.5 receiving yards
Daniel Jones Under 243.5 passing yards
Taylor has the fourth-most catches for the Colts this season, and he’s gone for at least 20 yards in six of nine games this season. The Falcons have allowed a back to pick up at least 19 receiving yards in four straight games — and allowed 72 yards on seven catches to CMC.
I expect Daniel Jones to find him enough times against this Top 10 Atlanta pass rush.
The Falcons have allowed just one passer to top 250 yards through the air this season, and the Colts are at their best when they can feed Taylor in the second half. He’s averaging over seven yards a carry this season after halftime, and Indy will look to take the ball out of the hands of Danny Dimes against this dangerous Atlanta pass defense.
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