NFL First Touchdown Scorer Picks & Odds for Week 14

Bucky Irving scoring the Bucs' first touchdown highlights our First TD scorer props for Sunday's Week 14 action.

Sam Farley - Contributor at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
Dec 6, 2025 • 14:08 ET • 4 min read
Davante Adams of the Los Angeles Rams
Photo By - Imagn Images. Davante Adams of the Los Angeles Rams.

We have some exciting Week 14 matchups this Sunday, and we’ve broken down the data to find the best First Touchdown Scorer bets for this week's action. 

Stay tuned to Red Zone and watch Bucky Irving, Davante Adams, and Dalton Kincaid score their game's opening touchdown.  

Here are my best weekly TD props and NFL picks for December 7. 

Best Week 14 first TD scorer props

Player DraftKings
Buccaneers Bucky Irving +475
Rams Davante Adams +475
Bills Dalton Kincaid +1200

Covers TD Bingo

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TD prop #1: Bucky Irving first TD scorer

+475 at DraftKings

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers host the New Orleans Saints and are the second biggest favorites on the spread on Sunday’s slate. Given they won 23-3 when these teams met in October, we should see a Tampa Bay player score the opener.

You can’t look any further than Bucky Irving to score for the Bucs. The running back returned in last week’s win and stepped on the field for the first time since Week 4. Irving immediately took the bulk of the carries, meaning no snap count and a hearty 17-carry workload. 

At least these odds, he offers great value to score first.

TD prop #2: Davante Adams first TD scorer

+475 at DraftKings

The biggest favorite of the day is the Los Angeles Rams, and it goes without saying that we have to take Davante Adams to open the scoring on Sunday against the Arizona Cardinals.

Adams is turning in a truly vintage season for his new team and has already racked up 14 receiving touchdowns. That puts him as the highest scoring wideout and third overall behind Jonathan Taylor and Jahmyr Gibbs.

He’s scored in six straight games and is a huge threat here. He leads all of football in red zone targets, with a whopping 28, averaging more than two per game. The Cardinals haven’t given up many touchdowns to WRs this season, but Adams is a step above nearly anyone in the league and is developing a real chemistry with Matthew Stafford.

TD prop #3: Dalton Kincaid first TD scorer

+1200 at DraftKings

We’re taking Dalton Kincaid to score the first touchdown as the Buffalo Bills meet the Cincinnati Bengals. He’s scored four touchdowns this season despite playing just eight games. 

I expect the tight end to score first because the Bengals have been woeful against the position this season and have allowed a staggering 13 touchdowns to the position in just 12 games.

Despite missing four games this season, Kincaid is still tied with James Cook for the most first touchdowns on the Bills roster this season, with three. He’s a key part of this offense and looks mispriced here.

The bad news is that he’s on the injury report and questionable to play. If Kincaid doesn’t suit up, then pivot to Dawson Knox.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Sam Farley
Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

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