With only two teams on a bye this week, we have plenty of players to choose from, as we pick the three players most likely to score the first touchdowns in their respective games.
Here are my best three NFL picks and weekly TD props for Week 11.
Best Week 11 first TD scorer props
| Player | Pick |  |
|---|---|---|
 De’Von Achane |
first TD scorer | +400 |
 Tyler Allgeier |
first TD scorer | +7500 |
 Mark Andrews |
first TD scorer | +800 |
TD prop #1: De’Von Achane first TD scorer
The Miami Dolphins host the Washington Commanders and unusually for them are favorites. That’s no surprise really with a couple of good wins in recent weeks over the Bills and Falcons, in which De’Von Achane has been crucial.
The Dolphins’ running back is their star man on offense and has found the endzone nine times, splitting his TDs fairly equally between the ground and air, with only five along the floor.
We’ve seen the opposing running back score the first touchdown of three of the past four Commanders’ games, with that team in freefall and without their best player, quarterback Jayden Daniels. Not only that but Achane is tied for the most first touchdowns this season, with three to his name already.
TD prop #2: Tyler Allgeier first TD scorer
Death, taxes and Tyler Allgeier getting carries that should belong to Bijan Robinson. Robinson is one of the best ‘backs in the league but the Atlanta Falcons always give Allgeier a big chunk of the team’s rushing plays.
He’s a good running back but the coaching staff love him and just this week he’s been getting more praise around his talent from them.
The Falcons are favored to win his home game against the Carolina Panthers and we have to back Allgeier to score. He has not only scored more touchdowns than Robinson, with six to four, as well as getting a lot of high value touches near the oppositions goal line.
Interestingly, he also leads the entire Falcons team in first touchdowns, opening the scoring in two of their nine games so far.
TD prop #3: Mark Andrews first TD scorer
When backing first touchdown scorers it’s always worth looking to see which teams are the biggest favorites that week.
There aren’t many huge spreads this week and no teams playing on Sunday favored by double digits, with the Baltimore Ravens the biggest favorites at the time of the writing with 7.5.
When it comes to picking a Ravens player, the obvious choice is Derrick Henry but he’s not been as efficient this season, with just six touchdowns, only one more than our choice here, Mark Andrews.
Andrews is consistently a red zone target for the Ravens and again leads his team in red zone targets this season.
The main thing that really appeals is the fact that he’s been integral in the two games since Lamar Jackson returned from injury, with three touchdowns over the past two weeks.
With Lamar back it’s Andrews who has been trusted inside the 20.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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