With only two teams on a bye this week, we have plenty of players to choose from, as we pick the three players most likely to score first in their respective games.
Here are my best first touchdown props and NFL picks for Week 11.
Best Week 11 first TD scorer props
| Player | Pick |  |
|---|---|---|
 De’Von Achane |
First TD scorer | +400 |
 Tyler Allgeier |
First TD scorer | +7500 |
 Mark Andrews |
First TD scorer | +800 |
TD prop #1: De’Von Achane first TD scorer
The Miami Dolphins host the Washington Commanders, and — unusually for them — are favored. That’s no surprise after a pair of strong wins over the Bills and Falcons, with De’Von Achane playing a crucial role in both.
Miami's running back is the star man on offense and has found the endzone nine times, splitting his TDs fairly equally between the ground and air.
We’ve seen the opposing running back score the first touchdown of three of the past four Commanders’ games, with that team in freefall and without their best player, quarterback Jayden Daniels. Not only that, but Achane is tied for the most first touchdowns this season, with three to his name already.
TD prop #2: Tyler Allgeier first TD scorer
Death, taxes, and Tyler Allgeier getting carries that should belong to Bijan Robinson.
Robinson is one of the best backs in the league, but the Atlanta Falcons always give Allgeier a big chunk of the team’s rushing plays.
The Falcons are favored to win their home game against the Carolina Panthers, and we have to back Allgeier to score. He has not only scored more touchdowns than Robinson, but is also getting a lot of high-value touches near the opposition's goal line.
Interestingly, Allgeier also leads the entire Falcons team in first touchdowns, opening the scoring in two of their nine games so far.
TD prop #3: Mark Andrews first TD scorer
When backing first touchdown scorers, it’s always worth looking to see which teams are the biggest favorites that week.
There aren’t many huge spreads this week, with the Baltimore Ravens listed as the biggest favorites at the time of writing.
Mark Andrews is consistently a red zone target for the Ravens and once again leads his team in red zone targets this season. The most appealing factor is that he’s been integral in the two games since Lamar Jackson returned from injury, scoring three touchdowns over the past two weeks.
With Lamar back, it’s Andrews who has been trusted inside the 20's.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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