NFL Fantasy Predictions & Probabilities: Top Week 3 Waiver Wire Targets

Dustin Saracini -  - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Dustin Saracini • Betting Analyst 14+ years betting experience
Updated: Sep 22, 2026 , 01:07 PM ET • 4 min read

If you want to win your NFL fantasy league, a lot of work needs to be done on the waiver wire each week. Keep an eye on Denzel Boston, Jonah Coleman, and Keon Coleman for Week 3.

Cleveland Browns player Denzel Boston #12 warming up at Raymond James Stadium.
Photo By - Marty Jean-Louis/Sipa USA - Cleveland Browns player Denzel Boston #12 warming up at Raymond James Stadium.

Winning your fantasy football league requires consistent weekly hustle on the waiver wire - I'm here to help with my NFL fantasy predictions all year long.

Every week throughout the season, this column highlights three must-add players alongside a best bet for each waiver claim.

Who should you target for Week 3? Let's dive into my top NFL picks.

Top NFL Week 3 fantasy predictions

For help understanding Kalshi probabilities, see our odds calculator.

Player Prop Pick Kalshi
Probability
Browns Denzel Boston (WR) TBD TBD
Broncos  Jonah Coleman (RB) TBD TBD
Bills   Keon Coleman (WR) TBD TBD

Prop selections coming SOON: percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.

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Best waiver wire targets for Week 3

WR Denzel Boston, Browns 

Kalshi probability: TBD

Denzel Boston is still just 33% rostered in all formats and needs to be picked up this week. The rookie wideout hauled in five catches off seven targets, recording a team-high 95 receiving yards and a touchdown in Week 2.

He's flashing big-play ability this year, scoring on a 55-yarder against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. He's now up to seven catches and 154 yards through two weeks - not bad for a guy who is just collecting dust on the waiver wire in most leagues.

The second-rounder is the WR11 early on and is up against a Carolina Panthers defense allowing a 74% catch rate. He has potential league-winner written all over him.

FAAB: $20-$30 

RB Jonah Coleman, Broncos

Kalshi probability: TBD

With J.K. Dobbins out and RJ Harvey both nursing a hamstring injury, Jonah Coleman (38% rostered) has vaulted into the starting role in Denver.

He took advantage of his newfound workload against the Jacksonville Jaguars (13 touches, 58 yards, TD) and has been nominated for Rookie of the Week as a result. Valuable as both a running back and pass-catcher out of the backfield, he needs to be on your radar for Week 3.

Coleman out-snapped Tyler Badie 25 to 19 versus the Jags, and if both Dobbins and Harvey remain out against the Los Angeles Rams, he will have some plug-and-play FLEX appeal.

FAAB: $15-$20

WR Keon Coleman, Bills

Kalshi probability: TBD

From one Coleman to another, we're headed to Buffalo with the forgotten Keon (2% rostered), who brought in all six of his targets for 63 yards in the Bills' 41-31 win against the Detroit Lions on Thursday Night Football. 

He flashed sure hands throughout the night, which should give fantasy managers some confidence to potentially play him as a WR3/FLEX this week against the Los Angeles Chargers - the defense has coughed up 262 passing yards per game, the fourth-worst in football.

If DJ Moore remains out with a shoulder injury, expect Coleman to see another spike in production in a game projected for 50-plus points.

FAAB: $2-$4

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Dustin Saracini
Betting Analyst

Dustin Saracini is a betting analyst at Covers with over 14 years of experience in the sports betting industry. Throughout his career, Dustin has hosted multiple betting shows- breaking down NBA, NFL, PGA, and MLB markets alongside top handicappers - and has appeared as a Super Bowl consultant for CNN. A disciplined daily bettor who extensively line-shops across FanDuel, DraftKings, BetMGM, and Caesars, his sharpest edges lie in MLB and the NFL (followed closely by the NHL and NBA). A self-proclaimed NRFI guru targeting his second straight +10u MLB season, Dustin holds a Broadcast Journalism degree from Western University (2014). For daily picks, market strategies, and insights, follow him on X (Twitter) @DustinSaracini.

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