Last Christmas marked the debut of the NFL on Netflix, bringing two marquee matchups to our screens on December 25.
Now, with the 2025-26 NFL schedule rolling out, Santa’s bringing an even bigger gift — three Christmas Day games this year!
The first two matchups are yet to be released, but we do know that the prime-time matchup will see the Denver Broncos travel to Arrowhead to take on the Kansas City Chiefs.
Let’s dive into the latest NFL odds for all three matchups, along with early predictions for each contest.
NFL Christmas Day Odds
| Matchup | Time (ET) | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
 Broncosvs.  Chiefs |
8:15 p.m. | -4.5 |
44.5 |
Early NFL Christmas Day Picks
Broncos vs. Chiefs odds for Christmas Day
My pick: Broncos +4.5
Don’t be fooled by the Kansas City Chiefs’ 15-2 record last season, as Patrick Mahomes & Co. finished just 8-9 ATS for bettors.
That mark included a narrow 19-17 win over Vegas in last year’s Black Friday matchup, as well as a 16-14 victory over these Denver Broncos following a blocked field goal at the buzzer that saved Kansas City from an upset loss as 7.5-point home favorites. The Chiefs are coming off three consecutive Super Bowl appearances, and fatigue could set in for Andy Reid’s team this season — especially that late in the year.
The Broncos have built off a 10-7 campaign (12-6 ATS) by adding Pro Bowl tight end Evan Engram and bolstering an already elite defense with linebacker Dre Greenlaw and safety Talanoa Hufanga.
I wouldn’t be surprised if Denver is leading the AFC West by the time Christmas rolls around, so I’ll take the Broncos at +4.5.
Not intended for use in MA.
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