The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have lost two of their last three games, but they won’t find the path any easier on Sunday when they travel north to face the Buffalo Bills.
I expect Josh Allen to be at his best on Sunday, which is why he highlights my Buccaneers vs. Bills player props for this November 16 matchup.
For more NFL picks, take a gander at our complete Buccaneers vs. Bills predictions.
Buccaneers vs Bills props
| Player | Pick | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 214.5 passing yards | -114 | |
| Over 43.5 receiving yards | -114 | |
| Over 45.5 rushing yards | -114 |
Prop bet #1: Josh Allen Over 214.5 passing yards
Josh Allen should be fired up at home after a bad loss to Miami last week, and he'll face a Tampa Bay Buccaneers' defense allowing the seventh-most passing yards to opponents.
Tampa Bay has surrendered the 11th-fewest rushing yards per game, and the Buffalo Bills may find it easier to attack the Bucs through the air than on the ground.
Allen has thrown for at least 215 yards in two straight games and three of his last five. After suffering a 30-13 loss to the rival Dolphins and needing a win to keep pace with the 9-2 Patriots, expect Allen to be at his best.
Prop bet #2: Khalil Shakir Over 43.5 receiving yards
Khalil Shakir has been on a roll over the last three weeks, and he'll look to stay hot with a favorable defensive matchup at home in Week 11.
Since Buffalo’s Week 7 bye, Shakir has hit the Over on this line twice and finished with exactly 43 receiving yards in the other game.
In that three-game span, he’s recorded 20 catches on 24 targets. On the season, he’s recorded at least 44 receiving yards in six of nine games overall, including four of five at home.
Tampa Bay is better against the run than against the pass, and I expect Buffalo to air it out.
Prop bet #3: Rachaad White Over 45.5 rushing yards
With Bucky Irving still sidelined, Rachaad White should remain heavily involved in Week 11, and he'll get a great matchup with a Bills defense allowing the third-most rushing yards to opponents.
Over his last five games, White has averaged 16.4 rush attempts per game for just 43.4 rushing yards. The touches have been there, but the yardage hasn’t. Fortunately for him, Buffalo tied with the New York Giants for most rushing yards allowed per attempt at 5.5.
Buffalo has surrendered the third-fewest passing yards per game, which means Tampa Bay may lean on the run game on Sunday.
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