Bo Nix Odds, Projections & SGP for Thursday Night Football

Our NFL player prop projections expect Bo Nix to do more damage with his legs than his arms on Christmas Day.

Kyle LaRusic - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Kyle LaRusic • Betting Analyst
Dec 25, 2025 • 07:00 ET • 4 min read
Denver Broncos quarterback Bo Nix (10) runs in the pocket during the third quarter against the Green Bay Packers at Empower Field at Mile High.
Photo By - Imagn Images. Denver Broncos quarterback Bo Nix (10) runs in the pocket during the third quarter against the Green Bay Packers at Empower Field at Mile High.

Bo Nix and the Denver Broncos will look to wash the stink off their Week 16 loss with a strong showing on Christmas Day against the Kansas City Chiefs.

The Denver QB wasn't playing his best last week, but he'll look to get right against his division rivals.

We break down the best Bo Nix odds and tell you how to wager on him using our NFL player prop projections.

Bo Nix projections for Thursday Night Football

Market Proj. Odds Value
Rushing yards
(13.5)
20.79 Over 13.5
-110
A+
Passing yards
(238.5)
225.06 Under 238.5
-110
A+
Passing completions
(21.5)
21.05 Under 21.5
-120
B+
Passing attempts
(33.5)
34.21 Over 33.5
-115
B
Passing touchdowns
(1.5)
1.51 Over 1.5
-110
C

Our projections expect Bo Nix to put his legs to use rather than just relying on his arm against this blitz-happy Chiefs defense. He'll still throw the ball, but he may not land as many completions as he would like.

You can expect at least two of his passes to find the end zone, however.

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Bo Nix same-game parlay for TNF

Bo Nix Over 13.5 rushing yards

Under 238.5 passing yards

Under 21.5 passing completions

By taking our Top 3 prop projections for the Broncos' QB, we have ourselves a correlated parlay that will tell the story of this game.

Denver is a monster favorite on Christmas Day, meaning the Broncos won't have to throw much while up big. They'll be able to run the clock down, and as mentioned, the Chiefs will blitz enough times to get Nix out of the pocket where he can scamper past this modest rushing total.


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Kyle LaRusic - Covers
Betting Analyst

Kyle LaRusic joined Covers in 2020 with a Holland College diploma in Journalism and a Mount Saint Vincent Degree in Public Relations. Stints at Amherst News and the Cape Breton Post helped sharpen his skills in a newsroom setting, while working for MSVU and Dalhousie’s athletic departments landed Kyle in his comfort zone.

Kyle has been an avid bettor for over five years, starting with just one Sports Interaction account before discovering both the beauty and importance of price shopping. bet365 and Pinnacle are his go to books, but accounts at 10+ sportsbooks give him an array of options. “Rusty” will bet on anything under the sun as long as there’s value and good reasoning behind it, but NHL and NFL are his two favorite leagues to watch and wager on — especially with friends.

Kyle’s biggest tip for any bettor is simple: gamble responsibly. Only bet what you’re willing to lose and make sure to install a proper bankroll method to keep track of your ROI. If you’re still dwelling on the amount you lost the next day, it’s time to decrease your spending.

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