The Buffalo Bills and the Jacksonville Jaguars meet at EverBank Stadium for an NFL playoff game on Sunday afternoon with a trip to the Divisional Round at stake.
If you're looking to make Bills vs. Jaguars predictions and don't have access to a sportsbook, then prediction markets like Kalshi are for you!
From spreads and totals to player props, there's a whole slew of NFL picks to be made at Kalshi.
Bills vs Jaguars predictions
| Result | |
|---|---|
| Jaguars to win | Trade at Kalshi |
| Bills -1.5 — NO | Trade at Kalshi |
| Over 51.5 — NO | Trade at Kalshi |
| Josh Allen to score a TD | Trade at Kalshi |
| Travis Etienne Jr. to score a TD | Trade at Kalshi |
Who will win Bills vs Jaguars at prediction markets?
Rohit Ponnaiya believes the Jaguars will cut Josh Allen's Super Bowl hopes early.
Our prediction: Jaguars to win
"The Jaguars finished the regular season with one more win than Buffalo, despite facing a tougher schedule, and are also slightly higher in the DVOA ratings. Jacksonville is fifth in the league in defensive EPA and has been strong against both the run and pass. On the other side of the ball, Travis Etienne will churn out yards against a Bills run defense that is near the bottom of the league in every metric."
See more of Rohit's analysis in his Bills vs. Jaguars predictions.
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Bills vs Jaguars props at prediction markets
Beyond the winner of the game, there are several other markets available for Bills vs. Jaguars at Kalshi, including the spread, total, and team total for the game, plus player touchdown props and quarterback passing markets.
Explain how you can buy either side of a market — for example, "Yes" on Jaguars +1.5 means the Jaguars will cover, while "No" on Jaguars +1.5 means the Bills will cover — with each side priced based on the implied probability (which can be converted to American, Decimal, or Fraction odds using the Covers odds converter)
Bills vs Jaguars spread and total at prediction markets
| Outcome | Yes | No |
|---|---|---|
| Bills -1.5 | 48¢ (-114) | 53¢ (-106) |
| Under 51.5 | 51¢ (-105) | 50¢ (-115) |
Our predictions: Bills -1.5 (NO) and Under 51.5
Our Covers game predictor expects this game to go Under, with 45.31 points being scored, and with Rohit Ponnaiya expecting the Jaguars to win, we're clearly not taking the Bills to cover the spread.
If you want to explore alternate spreads and totals, Kalshi does offer additional lines, with spreads ranging from Bills -14.5 to Jaguars -14.5, while alt-totals span from 39.5 to 63.5
Bills vs Jaguars touchdown props at prediction markets
| Player | Anytime TD | First TD |
|---|---|---|
 James Cook III |
60¢ (-165) | 15¢ (+550) |
 Travis Etienne Jr. |
58¢ (-150) | 16¢ (+480) |
| Josh Allen |
53¢ (-135) | 12¢ (+700) |
| Trevor Lawrence |
36¢ (+170) | 9¢ (+1000) |
| Jakobi Meyers |
32¢ (+200) | 8¢ (+1100) |
| Parker Washington |
32¢ (+200) | 8¢ (+1200) |
| Brian Thomas Jr. |
30¢ (+220) | 7¢ (+1300) |
| Brenton Strange |
30¢ (+220) | 7¢ (+1300) |
Our predictions: Josh Allen and Travis Etienne Jr.
Allen and Etienne Jr. highlight our Bills vs. Jaguars anytime touchdown scorer article, with Josh Allen’s legs becoming a major factor. He ranks 13th with 22 carries inside the 10, just four fewer than James Cook this season.
Jason Ence is also a big fan of Travis Etienne Jr. finding paydirt in this game — an option that is available at Kalshi (multiple TDs), as is the option to bet "No" on players scoring a touchdown as well!
Other Bills vs Jaguars props available at prediction markets
What is Kalshi and how does it work?
Kalshi is a federally regulated U.S. exchange where you trade directly on the outcome of real-world future events. Instead of traditional bets, you trade "Event Contracts" which are simple Yes/No questions like "Will the Eagles win this Sunday?" These events are priced between $0.01 and $0.99, and the prices reflect the market’s estimated probability of that event occurring. For instance, $0.55 equals a 55% chance. If your prediction is correct, the contract pays out exactly $1.00; if not, it settles at $0. Kalshi is essentially a stock market for reality.
How does Kalshi differ from sportsbooks?
In a sportsbook, you bet against the bookmaker, who sets fixed odds and takes a "vig," which is a kind of commission. On Kalshi, you trade against other users. This peer-to-peer model means prices are driven by supply and demand, often resulting in fairer odds. Additionally, because these are financial derivatives, you can exit your position early. If your team takes a 14-point lead, the contract price will rise, allowing you to sell your "Yes" shares for a profit before the final whistle even blows.
Why should I wager on Bills vs Jaguars at Kalshi?
Kalshi offers four unique advantages over traditional sportsbooks:
- Flexibility: Unlike a "locked-in" bet, you can sell your contract at any time.
- Transparency: You trade against other users, which can allow you to find better value.
- Federal regulation: As a CFTC-regulated exchange, your funds are held in a secure, transparent environment.
- Availability: Kalshi is available in many regions where traditional sportsbooks aren't yet legal.
