Our Bears vs. Seahawks score prediction for Monday Night Football backs the defending champions to follow up last week's impressive effort with another prime-time win tonight when this Week 8 finale kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN) from Lumen Field in Seattle.
Our AI projection model forecasts a 26-20 Seahawks win as part of our NFL AI predictions for Week 8, backing Seattle -3.5 and Under 46.5. Below, we break down those selections, make our anytime touchdown pick, and compare our spread pick with the Covers projections and expert picks using markets from the best prediction market apps.
Bears vs Seahawks score prediction & AI picks
Win probabilities courtesy of Kalshi at time of publish; latest odds may vary based on market action.
Bears vs Seahawks AI prediction
MON · 8:15 p.m. ET · ESPN
Win probability based on marketMore analysis
The Seahawks can make Caleb Williams earn every scoring drive. Their defense held the Chiefs to 213 yards and three points without allowing a red-zone possession. Winning early downs would let them put Williams in longer passing situations, and Kyle Monangai's absence leaves D'Andre Swift with more responsibility in the Bears' backfield. Chicago has counters: Colston Loveland carries no game designation, giving Williams his tight end, and Ben Johnson has extra preparation time after the Bears played Thursday. Uchenna Nwosu is doubtful, though, which could make it harder to turn those longer-yardage situations into punts.
The bigger risk to Seahawks -3.5 is pressure on Sam Darnold. Charles Cross is out, putting Josh Jones at left tackle; Quenton Nelson starts at left guard, with Grey Zabel shifting to right guard. That reshuffled line faces a Bears defense expecting Jeffery Simmons' debut and T.J. Edwards' return. Quick throws can limit the time those blockers must hold up, but missed assignments could produce sacks or short fields. Josh Inglis' Bears vs. Seahawks prediction also backs Under 46.5. Our 46-point forecast leaves only half a point below the line, so turnovers that hand either offense easy scoring chances are a significant risk.
Bears vs Seahawks AI touchdown projection
Bears vs Seahawks AI projections & expert picks
| AI model | Covers projections | Covers expertBy Chris Vasile |
|---|---|---|
| SEA-3.5 | SEA-3.5 | CHI+3.5 |
Our AI model backs Seahawks -3.5, and the Covers projections also imply a Seattle cover. Chris Vasile takes Bears +3.5 in his Week 8 picks against the spread, favoring Chicago's extra preparation time and the cushion above a field goal. The disagreement centers on whether the Seahawks can turn their defensive edge into enough offense to win by more than three. Josh Inglis is also targeting the Under in his Bears vs. Seahawks prediction.
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How our NFL AI predictions work
Our NFL AI predictions use a custom forecasting model built with GPT-6 Astra to project a final score for each matchup using historical scoring results and team-strength ratings. We review injuries and matchup news for the accompanying analysis.
The score forecasts are fixed before we compare them with the selected Kalshi spread and total to produce our ATS and Over/Under picks. Kalshi percentages are market quotes, separate from the score forecasts. Our touchdown pick is an AI-assisted editorial selection based on player usage and matchup research, not an output of the team-score model. We track results against the original selections and lines at time of publish.
We’ll continue updating the process as the season develops and publicly track every published score prediction, ATS pick, and Over/Under selection.
