49ers vs Titans TNF Prop Bets: Take Advantage of this Modest George Kittle Prop

Week 16 will kick off with the surging San Francisco 49ers visiting the Tennessee Titans who are clinging to their AFC South division lead.

Can George Kittle and the San Francisco offense keep rolling? Will the Titans be able to generate anything through the air with Julio Jones out and A.J. Brown questionable? Find out in our free props and predictions for 49ers vs. Titans.

49ers vs Titans prop picks

• D’Onta Foreman Under 50.5 rushing yards (-115)
• George Kittle Over 69.5 receiving yards (-115)
• Ryan Tannehill Under 214.5 passing yards (-115)

Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

49ers vs Titans TNF props

Wheel of Foreman

Since Derrick Henry went down, the Titans have still found some success on the ground which has likely saved their season as the passing game is non-existent with their absent-prone receivers. Over their last seven games, Mike Vrabel’s team is averaging 135.2 rushing yards per game with 573 of those yards coming in its three most recent games. With Julio Jones likely out and A.J. Brown just getting activated off the IR and having yet to practice, the 49ers will likely see a heavy dose of the run Thursday night.

Over the last three games, Tennessee has run the ball 125 times compared to 84 passes. They’ve gained 573 yards on the ground compared to 363 yards through the air AND lost two of those games — talk about a commitment to the run. The only problem for the Titans is that their Thursday opponent has one of the best run defenses in the league and held the Falcons to 62 yards on the ground last week, Joe Mixon to 58 yards on 18 carries in Week 14 and Dalvin Cook to just 39 rushing yards in Week 12. With D’Onta Foreman’s name getting a little buzz in the prop world, Week 16 looks like a great spot to fade him.

Foreman had his ankle rolled up last week versus the Steelers in a game he finished 108 rushing yards on 22 carries. The Steelers are the worst run-stopping and tackling teams in football and allow 4.9 yards per carry. Foreman practiced in full on Tuesday but with the short week, there is a slight concern about the ankle. Even with his 22 carries, Dontrell Hilliard and Jeremy McNichols still combined for 15 carries themselves and are a threat to take carries away from Foreman.

This looks like a great week to hit the Under on Foreman. The short week, the injury, the opponent and the backfield are all things working against the Titans’ No. 1 back this Thursday. We wouldn’t be surprised if this total started trending north and think the best time to hit the Under here would be closer to kickoff. There is a reason why this total may seem a little short at opening.

PICK: D'Onta Foreman Under 50.5 rushing yards (-115 at DraftKings)

A little bit of Kittle

The 49ers could find it tough to gain yards on the ground versus the Titans. Tennessee has one of the more underrated rush defenses at 3.9 ypc (fifth) on the season. Their 3.0 ypc allowed over the last three weeks is the best mark in football over that stretch. Elijah Mitchell is trending in the right direction to suit up Thursday but GM John Lynch still called him a game-time decision. Mitchell has dealt with injuries throughout the season and he's a bit of a gamble this week.

One player who has been more consistent of late is tight end George Kittle. Kittle’s 33 targets over the last three weeks rank fifth in football and his 425 receiving yards paces the league over that stretch. Jimmy Garoppolo and the TE have found their mojo and they could be in for another big week on Thursday.

Kittle is drawing 36% of the team’s targets since Week 13 and has been stacking yards after the catch at 3.5 yac per reception which is the most amongst NFL TEs. The Titans are a Top-10 team against opposing TEs but Pittsburgh’s Pat Freiermuth hit the Over on his yardage total last week, Hunter Henry and Jonnu Smith combined for five catches and 69 yards in Week 12 while Travis Kelce had seven grabs for 65 yards back in Week 7.

Kittle’s receiving yard total hasn’t inflated much over his three-game heater. It opened at 69.5 yards last week and that’s where it opened again for Week 16. His role and results are big reasons why the team has been winning and there isn’t any reason for Kyle Shanahan and Garoppolo to deviate from what is working.

PICK: George Kittle Over 69.5 receiving yards (-115 at DraftKings)

Silent Tannehill

Ryan Tannehill has been one of the lowest-volume passers in football this year. The Titans quarterback sits 20th in pass attempts per game (32.29) but has attempted more than 33 passes just once over his last 10 games. Over his last three games, Tannehill has failed to complete a pass of 30 yards or more and only two at 20-plus yards. The QB could have A.J. Brown back this week but this is still a passing offense we want nothing to do with especially against a defense that allows just 215 passing yards per game. 

The Titans sit dead-last in explosive pass plays (15-plus yards) on the year which is tough to do with Carolina in the league. San Francisco is a middle-of-the-pack team versus the pass but Tennessee didn’t record a reception longer than 18 yards last week versus the Steelers’ Bottom-15 pass defense and had just one reception longer than 20 yards versus the Jaguars’ bottom-tier pass defense in the previous week.

Tannehill won't be picking up chunks of yards at a time and is a quarterback we’re combing through his markets to find the best prop to hit the Under. His passing total opened at 214.5 yards which is two yards higher than it opened last week versus the Steelers where he finished with 153 passing yards. 

The Tennessee QB is 5-1 to the Under on this total over his last six and if Brown fails to suit up, this number could plummet. We’re assuming this number is priced for Brown to play.

PICK: Ryan Tannehill Under 214.5 passing yards (-115 at DraftKings)

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