Washington vs Oregon Odds, Picks and Predictions: Pacific Northwest Fireworks

The Oregon Ducks have been flying high ever since losing their opening game to Georgia. They've won eight straight and have been scoring at will. With Washington's suspect defense — and potent passing offense — the O/U of 72.5 might not seem so high.

JD Yonke - Contributor at Covers.com
JD Yonke • Contributor
Nov 12, 2022 • 08:07 ET • 4 min read
Bo Nix Oregon Ducks College Football NCAA
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There’s expected to be a shootout in the Pacific Northwest as No. 25 Washington travels to Eugene to face No. 6 Oregon in a marquee matchup.

The Ducks have been red hot, winning eight straight since the opening loss to Georgia. Dan Lanning’s squad is behind only Tennessee for one-loss teams.

Washington righted the ship immediately in Year 1 under Kalen DeBoer. Can the Huskies find a signature win against their pseudo-rivals in Week 11?

Check out our college football picks and predictions for the Washington Huskies and Oregon Ducks on Saturday, November 12 to find out. 

Washington vs Oregon best odds

Washington vs Oregon picks and predictions

The Oregon Ducks hit a home run in the coaching cycle this offseason. There are already rumors about Dan Lanning being wanted by SEC schools after coaching the Ducks to an 8-1 start in his first go-around as a head coach. He’s quieted that talk by saying the grass is quite green enough for him in Eugene, but there’s nothing quiet about what the Ducks have done as a national contender in Year 1 with their rising star of a coach at the helm.

Since the opening loss to Georgia, the Ducks have rattled off eight straight victories — almost all of them in very impressive fashion. All but one of those games was decided by more than two touchdowns and many of them were blowouts. Oregon is laying waste to the competition in the Pac-12 and has been the most impressive team in the conference by a wide margin. 

It all starts with an offense averaging 43.1 points per game, the third-highest mark in the country. Offensive coordinator Kenny Dillingham has made himself a boatload of money in his first season being completely in control of an offense, arguably becoming the most sought-after coach on his own staff. Bo Nix has blossomed into a legitimate Heisman contender at quarterback, completing 73.3% of his passes while tossing 22 touchdowns and adding another 13 scores on the ground. 

Oregon’s offense has been dominant, ranking first in both rushing success rate and passing success rate. The Ducks should continue to roll against a swiss-cheese Washington defense that ranks 93rd in EPA and 96th in success rate. 

On the flip side, Washington’s offense is averaging 38.6 points per game in Year 1 under Kalen DeBoer, an offensive guru who does not get enough national acclaim. Quarterback Michael Penix Jr. leads the nation with 3,232 passing yards while the Huskies lead the nation with 370.2 passing yards per game — 35 more than the second-place Tennessee Volunteers. Oregon has a leaky secondary that ranks 96th in passing EPA and 110th in passing success rate, so this could be a smash matchup for both offenses. 

Both teams project for highly successful offensive performances, and Oregon is 7-2 to the Over this season while Washington is 6-3. Let’s root for fireworks in the Pacific Northwest. 

My best bet: Over 72.5 (-107 at Pinnacle)

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Washington vs Oregon spread analysis

College football odds have this spread set at Oregon -13.5 across all books at the time of this writing.

The Ducks have naturally been a coverage machine as they obliterate any opponent not named Georgia (or Washington State!), going 7-2 ATS. They’ve covered in five straight games while being a two-score favorite in four of those contests, so the large spread is nothing unusual. On five occasions this season have the Ducks been favored by at least 13.5 points — and they’ve covered all five times!

Washington is 4-5 ATS this season and the betting market has had the Huskies pegged just about right, as each of their last three games has been decided within five points of the betting spread. After starting the season a perfect 4-0 ATS against poor opposition, the Huskies have since gone 0-5 ATS, failing to cover a spread since Week 4.

One of these teams is red-hot while the other hasn’t covered a spread since September 24th. It’s difficult to step in front of an Oregon team that has been very profitable for bettors this season, especially when their offense is forecasted to have another blow-up spot.

Washington vs Oregon Over/Under analysis

How great has Oregon’s offense been?

The rushing attack, led by a veteran offensive line that ranks second in line yards and second in HAVOC allowed, has been dominant, paving the way for 231.2 rushing yards per game. Minnesota transfer Bucky Irving has been a fantastic addition, averaging 6.9 yards per rush while gaining 894 yards from scrimmage and five touchdowns on just 117 touches.

Noah Whittington has been almost as effective behind him, gaining 6.2 yards per rush. It’s no mistake that the Ducks rank first in both rushing EPA and rushing success rate, and they should find success against a Huskies defense that ranks 94th in rushing success rate, 89th in line yards, and 104th in HAVOC.

Nix’s favorite target has been Troy Franklin, an emerging star who has 636 receiving yards and five touchdowns as a sophomore. Nix and company should torch a Huskies secondary that has taken a huge step back after losing multiple stars to the NFL Draft, ranking 108th in passing EPA. The Ducks have scored no fewer than 41 points in each of their last eight games — all wins — and there’s no reason to expect anything less in Week 11.

Washington’s passing attack runs through Penix’s two favorite receivers, Rome Odunze (858 receiving yards, six touchdowns) and Jalen McMillan (670 receiving yards, six touchdowns). While the Ducks are solid against the run (41st in rushing success rate), they struggle mightily to contain opponents’ passing attacks, ranking 110th in passing success rate. Expect Washington’s offense to contribute toward this total thanks to Penix and his talented receivers. 

Washington vs Oregon betting trend to know

The Over is 8-2 in Washington’s last 10 games. Find more NCAA betting trends for Washington vs. Oregon.

Washington vs Oregon game info

Location: Autzen Stadium, Eugene, OR
Date: Saturday, November 12, 2022
Kickoff: 7:00 p.m. ET

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Washington vs Oregon weather

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