Rain and a chance of thunderstorms could dampen Virginia's first true road game of the season against Florida State today at 3:30 p.m. ET (ESPN2) from Doak Campbell Stadium in Tallahassee, Fla.
The latest Virginia vs. Florida State weather report calls for a muggy afternoon in the mid-80s with the best chance of rain around kickoff. Showers should become less likely as the game progresses, though lightning remains a potential issue today.
Virginia vs Florida State weather forecast
The National Weather Service forecast near Doak Campbell Stadium calls for 84 to 85 degrees around kickoff, easing into the low 80s later in the game. Humidity will make it feel closer to the mid-90s early on.
Rain chances sit at 69% at 3 p.m. ET and 60% at 4 p.m. before falling to 38% by 6 p.m. Thunderstorms remain possible through the afternoon, while south to southeast winds around 5 to 7 mph should have little effect on play.
As of Saturday morning, Florida State's official gameday guide still listed a 3:30 p.m. ET kickoff, though that could get delayed if thunderstorms become problematic in the area.
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How weather could impact Virginia vs Florida State
Virginia quarterback Beau Pribula has completed 77% of his passes through four games, though a wet football could make that accuracy tougher to maintain against Florida State today. Slick conditions could also make it tough for his receivers to secure catches and keep the Cavaliers' passing game on track this week.
Florida State can lean on star running back Ousmane Kromah, who leads the Seminoles with 397 rushing yards through four games. That gives FSU a productive option if showers disrupt its passing attack against a Virginia defense allowing just 130 passing yards per game.
Virginia vs Florida State prediction markets
As of Saturday morning, Kalshi's markets had Virginia favored by 1.5 points with a 51.5-point total and roughly a 53% chance of a Cavaliers victory.
Colby Marchio is backing Florida State to pull off the upset in his Week 5 underdog picks, pointing to the Seminoles' tougher early schedule as a reason why this line might be overvaluing the road favorites. He also highlights three turnovers in their loss at Alabama, and a wet football would make avoiding another sloppy afternoon even more important.
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How to watch Virginia vs Florida State
| Location | Doak Campbell Stadium, Tallahassee, FL |
|---|---|
| Date | Saturday, October 3 |
| Kickoff | 3:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN2 |
