Last week’s totals board went 2-1, so I’m sticking with what’s working.
This week, my college football Over/Under picks include one spot where pace should drag the scoring down, plus two games where the offenses have enough firepower to push things the other way.
Check out more college football picks throughout the week.
Week 6 college football Over/Under picks
UCLA vs 
Oregon
Houston vs 
Kansas State
Maryland vs 
Ohio StatePercentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.
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Expert Week 6 CFB Over/Under picks
For help understanding Kalshi probabilities, please see our odds calculator.
UCLA vs Oregon: Under 58.5
The scoring averages point one way, but the matchup points another. UCLA plays slowly and has leaned heavily on a rushing attack averaging seven yards per carry, which is exactly how you shorten a game against Oregon.
Both defenses have also done an excellent job limiting explosive plays.
If UCLA can keep this on the ground and avoid giving Oregon quick possessions, getting close to 60 points becomes a much tougher ask.
Houston vs Kansas State: Over 55.5
Houston has gone Over in four of five games, and the offense is averaging nearly 500 yards and seven yards per play.
Kansas State can move it too, averaging roughly 480 yards per game, while both teams rank among the nation's best at extending drives on third down.
That gives us two efficient offenses capable of sustaining possessions and finishing drives. Even against a good K-State defense, 55.5 feels reachable if both quarterbacks do their part.
Maryland vs Ohio State: Over 56.5
Maryland has allowed at least 35 points in three straight games, including 54 and 48 in two of them. Now it gets an Ohio State offense averaging more than 500 yards and seven yards per play.
The Buckeyes have already topped 40 points in every home game, and they could threaten this number almost by themselves.
Anything Maryland adds in garbage time only helps, making the Over my favorite way to attack the mismatch.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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