Oklahoma State vs Boise State Picks and Predictions: Cowboys Thrive in Shootout

The Broncos bounced back from a season-opening loss to UCF with a huge 41-point win and head into this game as a 3.5-point favorite. Can they stop Spencer Sanders and the Cowboys' offense? Find out with our Oklahoma State vs. Boise State picks.

Last Updated: Sep 16, 2021 10:46 AM ET Read Time: 4 min
Spencer Sanders Oklahoma State Cowboys
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The Boise State Broncos, coming off a 41-point win over the UTEP Miners, host the Oklahoma State Cowboys at Albertsons Stadium on Saturday.

Boise bounced back from a season-opening loss to the UCF Knights and heads into this contest as a 3.5-point favorite.

Will Andy Avalos’ team improve to 2-1 with a win on the blue turf? Find out with our free college betting picks and predictions for Oklahoma State vs. Boise State on September 18.  

Oklahoma State vs Boise State odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

Oklahoma State opened this game as a 4.5-point underdog and is now getting only 3.5 points, despite the consensus being in favor of Boise State. The total hasn’t seen any movement thus far, staying at the opening number of 57.5. Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until kickoff and be sure to check out the full college football odds before placing your bets.

Oklahoma State vs Boise State picks

Picks made on 9/15/2021 at 11:26 p.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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Oklahoma State vs Boise State game info

Location: Albertsons Stadium, Boise, ID
Date: Saturday, September 18, 2021
Time: 9:00 p.m. ET
TV: FS1

Oklahoma State vs Boise State betting preview

Weather

Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NCAA football weather info.

Key injuries

Oklahoma State: Tay Martin WR (Questionable), Braydon Johnson WR (Questionable), Devin Harper LB (Questionable), Hunter Woodard OL (Questionable), Josh Sills OL (Questionable), Trace Ford DE (Out).
Boise State: Keeghan Freeborn DL (Questionable), Herbert Gums Jr. DL (Questionable), Scale Igiehon DL (Questionable).
Find our latest NCAA football injury reports.

Betting trend to know

Oklahoma State is 5-1 against the spread in its last six games as a road underdog. Find more NCAA betting trends for Oklahoma State vs. Boise State.

Oklahoma State vs Boise State predictions

When Boise State and Oklahoma State met back in 2018, the Cowboys earned a 44-21 victory as 1-point underdogs. That Broncos team had Brett Rypien under center, Ezra Cleveland and John Molchon blocking for him, and Alexander Mattison running behind him. All four of those players went on to play in the NFL, and the team also had three Mountain West first-teamers on the defensive side of the ball — with one of them being Curtis Weaver, who was drafted by the Cleveland Browns.

This Boise State team is definitely a solid one, too, and it should probably be undefeated right now. The Broncos got off to a great start against the Knights in Orlando, but they ended up falling apart and they got completely rattled by a crazy UCF crowd. However, Oklahoma State is another team that offers some real challenges for Boise State, and the Cowboys have a great shot at stealing a win in Idaho in this one. 

While Mike Gundy’s teams are known for their offenses, this Oklahoma State team actually has a rock-solid defense. Last year, the Cowboys were 34th in the nation in points per game allowed, as they gave up just 23.5. This year’s team returned eight starters from that unit and they are giving up just 19.5 points per game through two contests this season.

Oklahoma State did lose Trace Ford, a dominant edge defender, for the year, but freshman Collin Oliver is a great replacement for him. He has serious burst off the edge and should make life difficult on Hank Bachmeier in this one. While he causes problems at the line of scrimmage, an experienced secondary will look to make plays on the ball. 

The Cowboys should have no trouble moving the ball offensively. Spencer Sanders is a remarkable dual-threat option at quarterback and he’ll surely make some huge plays with his legs in this one. Boise State gave up 573 yards of total offense against Central Florida in the opener, so this defense is very attackable. The Cowboys aren’t quite as explosive as the Knights, but they have what it takes to make plays and put up a lot of points here.  

When these teams met in 2018, the game ended up going Under the total but the teams did combine to score 65 points. That number would make this Over a winner and it wouldn’t be shocking at all if both teams end up scoring 30-plus points in this game.

While Oklahoma State’s defense is better than it has been in recent years, it’s still a bend-don’t-break unit that will allow Boise State to move the ball. That means the Broncos will put a decent number on the board, even if they do fall short of the Cowboys' output. 

The Over is 6-1 in Boise State’s last seven games in which the team is coming off a cover as a double-digit favorite, and 7-4 when the Broncos are coming off an ATS win.

NCAA parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed our Oklahoma State vs. Boise State picks, you could win $26.45 on a $10 bet?

Use our college football parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

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