The Miami (OH) RedHawks head west to take on the Fresno State Bulldogs in the Snoop Dogg Arizona Bowl.
With the RedHawks hit hard by the transfer portal, my Miami (OH) vs. Fresno State predictions point to a low-scoring matchup on Saturday.
Read on for my college football picks for Friday, December 27.
Miami (OH) vs Fresno State predictions for the Arizona Bowl
Who will win the Arizona Bowl?
Fresno State is coming off an 8-4 campaign with a relatively intact squad on both sides of the ball. It’ll prove to be too much for a competent yet undermanned Miami (OH) side missing at least four of its best players.
Miami (OH) vs Fresno State best bet: Under 41.5 (-115)
The Snoop Dogg Arizona Bowl sets up as a smash-mouth football game, and scoring points will come at a premium.
The Miami (OH) RedHawks arrive shorthanded offensively after significant portal losses, which all but force Miami into a conservative, run-heavy approach designed to wind the clock.
That plays directly into the Fresno State Bulldogs' strengths. The Bulldogs are comfortable winning with defense and controlling field position, rather than relying on fancy plays or explosive scoring.
Neither offense seems efficient enough to justify chasing points and playing the Over.
Miami’s path to competitiveness relies on avoiding mistakes and turning this into a low-possession contest, while Fresno State has shown all season it can control games without pushing tempo.
With two defenses that rank ahead of their respective offenses, this matchup points to stalled drives, punts, and field goals rather than sustained scoring.
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Miami (OH) vs Fresno State same-game parlay
The roster disparity is hard to ignore here.
Miami (OH) lost Dequon Finn earlier in the season and will now be without top receiver Kam Perry, plus key defensive pieces Adam Trick and Mychal Yharbrough.
Fresno State doesn’t face the same issues and arrives with continuity on both sides of the ball. Since their statement 30-7 road win over Boise State, the Bulldogs have covered four of their last five, and this sets up as another favorable spot.
Miami (OH) vs Fresno State SGP
- Under 41.5
- Fresno State -5.5
Miami (OH) vs Fresno State game predictions
Miami (OH) vs Fresno State spread prediction
Fresno State has more parity in its lineup and will cover against a depleted Miami (OH) side.
Miami (OH) vs Fresno State Over/Under prediction
Without giving too much away, the defenses are better than the offenses, and that will lead to a low-scoring affair.
Miami (OH) vs Fresno State odds
- Spread: Miami (OH) +3.5 | Fresno State -3.5
- Moneyline: Miami (OH) +140 | Fresno State -165
- Over/Under: Over 42.5 | Under 42.5
Miami (OH) vs Fresno State trend to know
Fresno State has hit the game total Under in six of its last eight games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI). Find more college football betting trends for Miami (OH) vs Fresno State.
How to watch Miami (OH) vs Fresno State
| Location | Arizona Stadium, Tucson, AZ |
| Date | Saturday, December 27, 2025 |
| Kickoff | 4:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | CW |
Miami (OH) vs Fresno State latest injuries
Miami (OH) vs Fresno State weather
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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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