Georgetown vs Villanova Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's Big East Tournament Game

JD Yonke - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
JD Yonke • Betting Analyst 7+ years betting experience
Updated: Mar 12, 2026 , 11:45 AM ET • 4 min read

Yonke's Prediction: Expect Vincent Iwuchukwu to help Georgetown in the scoring department tonight at Madison Square Garden.

NCAAB

Match starts: 7 hrs
GTWN
32 %
VILL
68 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Vince Iwuchukwu o11.5  Points (-120) Vince Iwuchukwu o11.5 Points (-120)
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Vincent Iwuchukwu of the Georgetown Hoyas CBB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Vincent Iwuchukwu of the Georgetown Hoyas CBB

Day Two of the 2026 Big East Tournament concludes with a nightcap between the No. 11 seed Georgetown Hoyas and the No. 3 seed Villanova Wildcats in a game broadcast on FS1 at 9:30 pm ET.

The Hoyas rolled over DePaul on Wednesday in a close but clear First Round victory, whereas the Wildcats will be the last team in the field to make their debut at Madison Square Garden.

In the 101st all-time meeting between these long-time rivals, my Georgetown vs. Villanova predictions and college basketball picks for Thursday, March 12, are looking to capitalize on Nova’s increased tempo.

Georgetown vs Villanova prediction

Georgetown vs Villanova best bet

Georgetown vs Villanova best bet: Vincent Iwuchukwu Over 11.5 Points (-112)

The Georgetown Hoyas are without their leading scorer, KJ Lewis (14.9 ppg), leaving a massive void, as he also leads the team in usage rate (28.3%) and BPR (+5.69).

Who will step up? Big man Vincent Iwuchukwu scored 17 points in the First Round, making it nine times in his team’s last 11 games that he’s scored at least 12 points.

The Villanova Wildcats have soft interior defense, ranking 223rd in shooting proximity and 222nd in defensive rebounding rate. The Wildcats have upped the pace lately, and opportunities will be available for Iwuchukwu down low and on the boards (put-backs).

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Georgetown vs Villanova same-game parlay


Villanova was one of the slowest teams in the country for the first half of the year, ranking 351st in adjusted tempo (BartTorvik) in its first 15 games.

Kevin Willard changed the game plan in the second half, cashing the Over in 12 of their last 16 games and narrowly finishing outside the top 100 in adjusted tempo across the final month.

The Hoyas play good hoops outside of Capital One Arena, ranking fourth nationally in Haslametrics’ Away from Home metric. They should contribute to the total, as will a Nova offense averaging 77.6 ppg.

Georgetown vs Villanova SGP

  • Over 141
  • Vincent Iwuchukwu Over 11.5 points
  • Vincent Iwuchukwu Over 7.5 rebounds

Our beyond the arc SGP: Nova Prevails!

Georgetown is 17-8 ATS in the first half in its last 25 games, but routinely falls apart in the second half. Ed Cooley’s squad has topped 66.5 points in 10 of its last 13 games, and all three exceptions came against teams ranked in the top 30 in defensive efficiency over the last month.

Georgetown vs Villanova SGP

  • Georgetown 1H +4
  • Georgetown TT Over 66.5
  • Vincent Iwuchukwu Over 7.5 rebounds
  • Villanova moneyline

Georgetown vs Villanova odds

  • Spread: Georgetown +7 (-110) | Villanova -7 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Georgetown +267 | Villanova -330
  • Over/Under: Over 141.5 (-110) | Under 141.5 (-110)

Georgetown vs Villanova betting trend to know

Vincent Iwuchukwu has scored Over 11.5 points in nine of his last 11 contests. Find more college basketball betting trends for Georgetown vs. Villanova.

How to watch Georgetown vs Villanova

Location Madison Square Garden, New York, NY
Date Thursday, March 12, 2026
Tip-off 9:30 p.m. ET
TV FS1

Georgetown vs Villanova key injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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JD Yonke
Betting Analyst

JD is a diehard college football fan with five years of experience writing betting and fantasy content for publications such as SportsGrid, Fantasy Points, Fantrax, and Devy Watch. An avid reader, he uses his inclination to look at things with an exhausting and in-depth, analytic viewpoint combined with a love for statistics and metrics to form a well-rounded handicapping approach.

e's an integral member of the niche (but growing!) college fantasy football community, twice traveling to Canton, OH for the Fantasy Football Expo as a member of the CFF King's Classic drafting squad. His specialization in college football DFS and prop betting taught him that there are exploitable markets to be found and that narrowing your focus is integral to being a profitable bettor.

A lifelong Californian who grew up playing baseball, basketball, football, and lacrosse, he's glad to share a passionate love for sports with this wonderful community.

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