Mavericks vs Grizzlies Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Eric Rosales - Contributor at Covers.com
Eric Rosales • Betting Analyst 27+ years betting experience
Updated: Mar 12, 2026 , 09:19 AM ET • 4 min read

Rosales' prediction: The Mavericks end a long skid against the banged-up Grizzlies.

NBA

Match starts: 8 hrs
DAL
57 %
MEM
43 %
EXPERT PICK - SPREAD
Dallas -5.0 (-110) Dallas -5.0 (-110)
Read Analysis
Cooper Flagg Dallas Mavericks NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Dallas Mavericks forward Cooper Flagg (32) drives to the basket against the Atlanta Hawks.

The Memphis Grizzlies look to make it eight straight wins against the Dallas Mavericks tonight. 

Even with Dallas on an eight-game losing skid and wrapping up a gruelling six-game road trip, my Mavericks vs. Grizzlies predictions and NBA picks have the visitors finally breaking a couple of lengthy slides on Thursday, March 12.

Mavericks vs Grizzlies prediction

Mavericks vs Grizzlies best bet: Mavericks -5 (-110)

The Dallas Mavericks have lost five straight on this trip, with double-digit losses in four of them.

It’s part of a bigger skid, where they’ve gone an NBA-worst 2-18 over the last 20 games, averaging just 109.8 points per game.

But road-weary bodies still beat unhealthy ones, and the Memphis Grizzlies, who’ve also dropped five straight, will be without their leading scorer, rebounder, and assist man, as Santi Aldama, Scotty Pippen Jr., and Ja Morant are all sidelined.

Plus, Cedric Coward, Walter Clayton Jr., and Ty Jerome are all doubtful.

Dallas will avoid a four-game regular-season series sweep.

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Mavericks vs Grizzlies same-game parlay

Rookie Cooper Flagg has scored just 12 points in each of the two games he’s played against Memphis and has scored sub-20 points in four straight since returning from a foot injury.

That hasn’t affected his rebounding effort, though, as he’s picked up at least eight boards in each of his last three games.

Mavericks vs Grizzlies SGP

  • Mavericks -5
  • Cooper Flagg Under 21.5 points
  • Cooper Flagg Over 6.5 rebounds

Our "from downtown" SGP: The Flagg Bearer

Let’s stick with the rook as we build out a monster SGP that pays out at +2100.

Flagg has hit at least one triple in three of four games since returning from injury.

And while his scoring has been down, he’s been keeping his teammates well fed, doling out at least six assists in three of his last four games.

Mavericks vs Grizzlies SGP

  • Mavericks -5
  • Cooper Flagg Under 21.5 points
  • Cooper Flagg Over 6.5 rebounds
  • Cooper Flagg Over 0.5 made threes
  • Cooper Flagg Over 5.5 assists

Mavericks vs Grizzlies odds

  • Spread: Mavericks -5 (-110) | Grizzlies +5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Mavericks -205 | Grizzlies +170
  • Over/Under: Over 239.5 (-110) | Under 239.5 (-110)

Mavericks vs Grizzlies betting trend to know

The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 40 games (-20.45 Units / -38% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Mavericks vs. Grizzlies.

How to watch Mavericks vs Grizzlies

Location FedExForum, Memphis, TN
Date Thursday, March 12, 2026
Tip-off 8:00 p.m. ET
TV KFAA, FDSN SE-Memphis

Mavericks vs Grizzlies latest injuries

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Eric Rosales - Covers
Betting Analyst

Eric has been involved in sports media in many different capacities since graduating from journalism school in 1999, back when getting your own column in a newspaper was still considered a thing. He doubled down and graduated from broadcast journalism school five years later, which led to a move to Toronto and a career with The Sports Network (TSN). From behind-the-scenes production work, he moved into the digital realm, where he had his own hoops column (At the Buzzer), while regularly live streaming and chatting with fans during broadcasts as the character known as LeBlog James. He was also a key contributor to TSN and CTV’s Olympic programming during the 2012 London Games.

Eric eventually found his way into the sports betting field in 2016 and has been a mainstay ever since. He was tagged on Twitter as a Top 10 NBA sharp during the 2021 season and has been interviewed about basketball and his handicapping process on shows from Vancouver to India. Eric is now a jack-of-all-sports at Covers, where his predictions span the alphabet soup: NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, F1, WNBA, Euro, and Copa.

When making picks, he focuses on finding value first and foremost, and ensuring readers have all the information they need to make an informed choice.

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