Miami vs Indiana Computer Picks: Our Best CFP National Championship Player Prop Projections

The spread for tonight's Natty indicates Indiana should roll... but our college football player prop projections have found plenty of value in betting the Over on Hurricanes players.

Jared Hochman - Content Operations Manager at Covers.com
Jared Hochman • Content Manager
Jan 19, 2026 • 09:28 ET • 4 min read
Miami vs Indiana computer picks Keelan Marion CJ Daniels
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Miami Hurricanes wide receiver Keelan Marion (0) reacts with wide receiver CJ Daniels (7) after scoring a touchdown.

No. 1 Indiana, after streamrolling Alabama and Oregon, is approaching double-digit favorite status for tonight's CFP National Championship against 10th-seeded Miami — but that doesn't mean there isn't plenty of value to be found in betting on player props for both the Hoosiers and the Hurricanes!

Our college football player prop projections have identified the best prop plays to make for tonight, with kick off set for 7:30 p.m. ET tonight at Hard Rock Stadium, and broadcast on ESPN.

Miami vs Indiana computer picks for CFP National Championship

Miami Miami Indiana Indiana
Beck o199.5 pass
-114
Mendoza u223.5 pass
-114
Brown o25.5 rush
-114
Hemby o62.5 rush
-114
Toney o61.5 rec
-114
Cooper o45.5 rec
-114
Marion o42.5 rec
-114
Sarratt o56.5 rec
-114
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Miami computer picks

Carson Beck Over 199.5 passing yards (-114)

Projection: 207.29 yards

Our projections have the veteran Miami QB finishing above the 200-yard mark (whether it's garbage time or not remains to be seen).

🔥 Bet Beck passing yards now

CharMar Brown Over 25.5 rushing yards (-114)

Projection: 30.28 yards

We're forecasting RB1 Mark Fletcher to go Under his total, but we're more optimistic about Brown surpassing his rushing line after a strong performance in the semifinal.

Alternate-total bet
30+ yards (+116) - This price shows a little bit of value.

🔥 Bet Brown rushing yards now

Malachi Toney Over 61.5 receiving yards (-114)

Projection: 65.25 yards

Miami's star WR will need another big game tonight, and while we don't project a monster game... he should finish above his receiving total.

🔥 Bet Toney receiving yards now

Keelan Marion Over 42.5 receiving yards (-114)

Projection: 56.17 yards

Our projections have found plenty of value in Miami's secondary pass catchers, with Marion showing the most value to go Over (after breaking out for 114 yards against Mississippi).

Alternate-total bet
50+ yards (+134) - This prop shows incredible value.

🔥 Bet Marion receiving yards now

Indiana computer picks

Fernando Mendoza Under 223.5 passing yards (-114)

Projection: 204.56 yards

Mendoza has been the model of efficiency, but the Heisman winner has finished Under this number in four straight — and we're projecting tonight to be five in a row.

🏈 Bet Mendoza passing yards now

Roman Hemby Over 62.5 rushing yards (-114)

Projection: 67.46 yards

Our projections have IU's leading rusher to finish just beyond his posted total against Miami's stout defense.

🔥 Bet Hemby rushing yards now

Omar Cooper Jr. Over 45.5 receiving yards (-114)

Projection: 59.55 yards

Cooper has been quiet down the stretch, failing to top this number in his last three games, but we expect him to finish the season strong.

Alternate-total bet
60+ yards (+158) - This prop shows good value.

🔥 Bet Cooper receiving yards now

Elijah Sarratt o56.5 receiving yards (-114)

Projection: 67.56 yards

College football expert Andrew Caley loves Sarratt to go Over his total as one of his best Miami vs. Indiana predictions — and our projections also agree.

🔥 Bet Sarratt receiving yards now

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Jared Hochman Content Operations Manager at Covers.com
Content Manager

Before Jared Hochman joined the Covers team in 2020, he worked for newspaper outlets such as the Chronicle Herald and The Coast, worked in marketing for SkipTheDishes and Vivid Seats, and previously ran a magazine. A journalism graduate from the University of King's College in, Halifax, N.S., "Hoch" brings more than a decade of experience in sports betting, having worked as a freelance handicapper, making appearances on Monumental Sports Network and the Sharp 600 podcast, and now also filling in occasionally as host of Covers' NHL Puck Props. 

Awarded Covers' company MVP for 2023, Jared is an avid bettor of MLB, NFL, NHL, and NBA, while also wagering on some soccer and WNBA. His best advice for sports bettors? Price shop, which is something he does daily across 10 different sportsbook apps.

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