LSU vs Ole Miss Computer Picks: Our Best Week 3 Player Prop Projections

Robert Criscola - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Robert Criscola • Betting Analyst 11+ years betting experience
Updated: Sep 19, 2026 , 11:03 AM ET • 4 min read

See why Ole Miss wide receiver Deuce Alexander is sitting on a big Saturday night, per our computer projections for the Magnolia Bowl.

Ole Miss Rebels NCAAF Deuce Alexander
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Ole Miss Rebels wide receiver Deuce Alexander.

Our LSU vs. Ole Miss computer picks are sorting through the noise and helping traders make the smartest data-driven picks possible for tonight's Magnolia Bowl.

See why Deuce Alexander will have himself a day on Saturday, Sept. 19. And for more on the LSU vs. Ole Miss rivalry game, check out our free college football picks.

LSU vs Ole Miss computer picks

For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.

LSU LSU Ole Miss Ole Miss
Wilson III o39.5 rec yds
58%
Chambliss u277.5 pass yds
54%
Green u60.5 rec yds
58%
Lacy o84.5 rush yds
54%
Alexander o69.5 rec yds
60%
Odom o29.5 rec yds
48%

Percentages courtesy of ProphetX, one of the best prediction market apps.

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LSU computer picks

Eugene Wilson III Over 39.5 receiving yards

Projection: 58.6 yards

Our LSU vs. Ole Miss computer picks have more reliable data for the Rebels, who are playing with a full complement of offensive talent. The Tigers, on the other hand, may have to play without Sam Leavitt, who is officially listed as questionable to suit up.

Despite Leavitt's injury woes, our Covers prop projections still like Eugene Wilson III to eclipse his receiving yard total.

Wilson III is projected for over 58 yards, making this a five-star selection.

🔥 Trade WILSON III receiving yards now

Trey'Dez Green Under 60.5 receiving yards

Projection: 58.6 yards

There is a +12.3% EV edge associated with this play.

Trey'Dez Green is 1-1 to this line in 2026, and closed out 2025 on a 1-4 Under run. 

At least one of Leavitt's targets figures to suffer if the standout signal caller is sidelined, and our computer believes it's the Tigers' top tight end.

🏈 Trade GREEN RECEIVING yards now

Ole Miss computer picks

Trinidad Chambliss Under 277.5 passing yards

Projection: 263.6 yards

There is a 22.1% EV edge associated with this play, making it a four-star play.

Our computer believes Trinidad Chambliss will miss the mark on his passing prop by about 14 yards. Chambliss is 1-1 to this mark in 2026, but did reach 314 yards vs. LSU in 2025.

🏈 Trade CHAMBLISS passing yards now

Kewan Lacy Over 84.5 rushing yards

Projection: 88.1 yards

Our system tabs this prop as a four-star play.

Kewan Lacy has averaged 4.9 yards on 30 carries in 2026. Last year, he rushed for 85+ yards 10 times, including an 87-yard day vs. the Tigers.

🔥 Trade LACY rushing yards now

Deuce Alexander Over 69.5 receiving yards

Projection: 80 yards

Despite the negative projection for Chambliss, our computer is bullish on Deuce Alexander's production.

 Alexander is projected to reach 80 receiving yards on Saturday night, good for a 25.7% EV edge.

🔥 Trade ALEXANDER receiving yards now 

Caleb Odom Over 29.5 receiving yards

Projection: 30.2 yards

Ole Miss tight end Caleb Odom is also slated to have a fine receiving day vs. LSU. 

Odom went for 66 yards on three receptions in his season debut vs. Louisville. Our computer gives this prop play a 10% EV edge.

🔥 Trade ODOM receiving yards now  Not intended for use in MA.
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Robert Criscola - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Robert M. Criscola’s road to becoming a Covers publishing editor began with an internship at Metro New York, which eventually turned into a freelance job at MetroBet covering many sports from a wagering angle, including horse racing. He continued to focus on “The Sport of Kings” by writing for shapperdacapper.com, danonymousracing.com, and informer.fanxt.com before joining the team at the TwinSpires Edge in 2019 as a regular contributor and weekend editor. “Crisco” began writing game previews for Covers in 2022 and joined the editing team in 2023.

His best advice for sports bettors? Bet with your head, not over it.

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