Alabama vs Texas A&M Picks and Predictions: 12th Man Won't Save Aggies

The Crimson Tide head to Kyle Field looking to make the Aggies' season go from bad to worse. Our Alabama vs. Texas A&M picks take a look at whether the home Aggies can cover against a rolling Tide.

Andrew Caley - Senior Betting Analyst at
Andrew Caley • Senior Betting Analyst
Oct 9, 2021 • 15:39 ET • 4 min read
Brian Robinson Jr. Alabama Crimson Tide college football
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Not many expected the Aggies to enter their Week 6 matchup with the Alabama Crimson Tide unranked, but here we are after a disastrous start for Texas A&M. 

The Aggies, losers of two straight and their starting quarterback, are left wondering if they'll even have a chance to cover the 17.5-point spread facing them on Saturday with 'Bama coming to College Station.

Find out who we like with our free college football betting picks and predictions for Alabama vs. Texas A&M on October 9.

Alabama vs Texas A&M odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

The Aggies opened this SEC matchup as 17-point home underdogs and the line has moved to +17.5 with 18s starting to pop up on the board. The total hit the board at 51.5 and has been bet down a tick to 51. Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until kickoff and be sure to check out the full college football odds before placing your bets.

Alabama vs Texas A&M picks

Picks made on 10/8/2021 at 5:30 p.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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Alabama vs Texas A&M game info

Location: Kyle Field, College Station, TX
Date: Saturday, October 9, 2021
Time: 8:00 p.m. ET

Alabama vs Texas A&M betting preview


Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NCAA football weather info.

Key injuries

Alabama: Drew Sanders LB (Doubtful).
Texas A&M: Myles Jones DB (Out), Luke Matthews OL (Out), Chase Lane WR (Questionable), Caleb Chapman WR (Questionable), Layden Robinson OL (Questionable).
Find our latest NCAA football injury reports.

Betting trend to know

Alabama is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games overall. Find more NCAA betting trends for Alabama vs. Texas A&M.

Alabama vs Texas A&M predictions

This was supposed to be the year Jimbo Fisher and Texas A&M challenged Alabama in the SEC West, but it looks like it’s the same old-same old.

It doesn’t help that the Aggies lost their starting quarterback early in the season, but their issues go much deeper than that. The offensive line play has been a mess and they haven’t been able to move the ball in consecutive losses to Arkansas and Mississippi State, even with great running backs like Isiah Spiller and Devon Achane. That doesn’t bode well against a ferocious Alabama front that ranks 14th in total defense.

The Aggies’ only hope in this game is a strong defense that ranks 41st in total yards and fifth in scoring defense. The problem is the offense cannot sustain drives and the defense will eventually tire out as the game wears on.

That’s tough against a normal offense, so imagine what it will be like going up against Heisman favorite Bryce Young and the Crimson Tide offense. Young is completing 73 percent of his passes for 1,365 yards with 17 touchdowns compared to just two picks. And, what makes Alabama truly dangerous, is that running back Brian Robinson Jr. is healthy again.

The Aggies won’t be able to contain all of the Tide’s weapons for 60 minutes, and once they get behind, they won’t be able to keep up. 'Bama wins this one by three touchdowns. Roll Tide.

Now. Playing in primetime at Kyle Field can be tough for any visiting team, but if there is a team that can handle the raucous 12th Man and still get off to a good start it’s Alabama. 

The Tide have been an absolute force in the first half when playing SEC opponents dating back to last season. In fact, 'Bama is 10-0 against the first half spread in its last 10 games against SEC foes, and for good reason. Alabama is second in the nation in first half scoring, at 29.5 points per contest.

Texas A&M, on the other hand, only manages a meager 10.6 first-half points per game and it could be even tougher against an Alabama defense that is giving up just 4.8 first-half points to opposing teams so far this season. So, keep betting Bama on the first half spread until they show signs of slowing down.

College football parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed our Alabama vs. Texas A&M picks, you could win $26.45 on a $10 bet?

Use our college football parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Where can I bet on college football odds?

You can bet on college football odds at every online and casino sportsbook, including NCAA moneylines, spreads, Over/Under totals, and a ton of college football prop odds. Head over to our best football betting sites for the top spots to bet on college football odds in your area.

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