The first of the four opening College Football Playoff matchups may be the best one, with an all-SEC showdown between the Alabama Crimson Tide and the Oklahoma Sooners.
Our college football player prop projections have picked out the best prop values for this matchup... and it's not overly optimistic for either team's passing game.
Alabama vs Oklahoma computer picks for CFP Round 1
 Alabama |
 Oklahoma |
|---|---|
| Simpson u240.5 pass -114 |
Mateer u197.5 pass -114 |
| Miller o39.5 rush -115 |
Robinson o34.5 rush -115 |
| Williams o46.5 rec -114 |
Sategna u67.5 rec -114 |
| Bernard u58.5 rec -114 |
Kanak o26.5 rec -114 |
Alabama computer picks
Ty Simpson Under 240.5 passing yards (-114)
Projection: 208.79 yards
Simpson stumbled down the stretch for 'Bama, averaging just 160 yards per game over his last three, and we're projecting him to struggle against Oklahoma tonight.
🏈 Bet simpson passing yards now
Jam Miller Over 39.5 rushing yards (-114)
Projection: 44.52 yards
Miller is expected to play after missing the SEC Championship with a leg injury, and we're projecting him to contribute enough to go Over his rushing total.
🔥 Bet miller rushing yards now
Ryan Williams Over 46.5 receiving yards (-114)
Projection: 57.74 yards
This season has not gone as expected for the star sophomore, but our projections expect the deep threat to top a yardage total that is below his season per-game average.
🔥 Bet williams receiving yards now
Germie Bernard Under 58.5 receiving yards (-114)
Projection: 53.86 yards
Alabama likes to get the ball in the hands of its Swiss Army Knife, but we're projecting the OU defense to keep him contained tonight.
🏈 Bet bernard receiving yards now
Oklahoma computer picks
John Mateer Under 197.5 passing yards (-114)
Projection: 179.31 yards
Mateer finished the year with 173 or fewer yards in four of his last six games, and we're projecting another Under from him in this game.
🏈 Bet mateer passing yards now
Xavier Robinson Over 35.5 rushing yards (-114)
Projection: 44.92 yards
Part of a two-headed OU backfield, we're projecting the 1B to finish above his posted rushing total.
Alternate-total bet
40+ yards (+110) - This prop shows great value.
🔥 Bet robinson rushing yards now
Isaiah Sategna Under 67.5 receiving yards (-114)
Projection: 61.72 yards
OU's leading receiver posted just 26 yards against Bama a month ago, and our projections aren't that optimistic about him having a big game tonight either.
🏈 Bet sategna receiving yards now
Jaren Kanak Over 26.5 receiving yards (-114)
Projection: 29.4 yards
The Sooners reliable TE is projected to finish just above his posted yardage line tonight.
🔥 Bet kanak receiving yards now
Not intended for use in MA.
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