Tennessee State vs Morehead State Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's Ohio Valley Championship Game

Phil Naessens - Contributor at Covers.com
Phil Naessens • Betting Analyst +19 years betting experience
Updated: Mar 7, 2026 , 12:25 PM ET • 4 min read

Naessens' prediction: A high-scoring shootout awaits the Ford Center in Evansville.

NCAAB

Match starts: 7 hrs
MORE
43 %
TNST
57 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
o145.5 (-116)
Read Analysis
A basketball swishes through the hoop in college action.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. A basketball swishes through the hoop in college action.

The Tennessee State Tigers and Morehead State Eagles square off for the third time this season for the right to hear their name called on Selection Sunday.

Tonight’s Ohio Valley Conference final promises to be a wild one, and my Tennessee State vs. Morehead State predictions expect a high-scoring affair. 

Find out more in my college basketball picks for Saturday, March 7.

Tennessee State vs Morehead State prediction

Tennessee State vs Morehead State best bet

Tennessee State vs Morehead State best bet: Over 145.5 (-116)

The Tennessee State Tigers and Morehead State Eagles have already played twice this season, and they didn’t just clear tonight’s game total; they obliterated it, averaging a massive 192.5 points per game.

Morehead State enters on an eight-game winning streak, averaging 75.8 ppg on the season, while Tennessee State plays up-tempo hoops and is a Top 75 scoring offense at 80.5 ppg.

Both groups shot over 45% in their regular-season meetings. These teams don't slow down; they trade buckets and should trade enough to push this game Over the total.

Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account Add as a preferred source on Google

Tennessee State vs Morehead State same-game parlay

Tennessee State is a live favorite for a reason. The Tigers lead the Ohio Valley Conference in scoring and rank 10th nationally in steals.

Their defensive pressure forces 14.8 turnovers per game, which fuels a transition attack that Morehead State has struggled to contain. Expect the Tigers’ athleticism to overwhelm the Eagles. 

Tennessee State vs Morehead State SGP

  • Over 149.5
  • Tennessee State -4.5

Tennessee State vs Morehead State odds

  • Spread: Tennessee State -3.5 (-115) | Morehead State +3.5 (-105)
  • Moneyline: Tennessee State -170 | Morehead State +145
  • Over/Under: Over 145.5 (-116) | Under 145.5 (-116)

Tennessee State vs Morehead State betting trend to know

Morehead State has only hit the game total Under in seven of its last 18 games (-5.10 Units / -26% ROI). Find more college basketball betting trends for Tennessee State vs. Morehead State.

How to watch Tennessee State vs Morehead State

Location Ford Center, Evansville, IN
Date Saturday, March 7, 2026
Tip-off 9:00 p.m. ET
TV ESPN2

Tennessee State vs Morehead State key injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Prior to joining Covers in 2022, Phil Naessens spent 38 years as a resident tennis pro in Las Vegas, Mykonos, and Corfu, Greece. He’s the past host of the Phil Naessens Show (Armed Forces Radio), and currently hosts the Crush and Rush Tennis Podcast.

Phil is the author of the Betting 101 series (MLB, NFL, NCAAF, and Tennis) and has written for numerous publications, including Advance Local, SB Nation, FanSided, and Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports. 

His favorite sports to bet on are tennis, MLB, WNBA, Euro men’s and women’s hoops, NCAA sports, NFL, and the NBA. Phil has numerous betting accounts in the US and Europe, and his best advice is to line shop for the best value possible.

Popular Content

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo